TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7e2…17a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: F1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.3
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$51.87
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$54.88
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.94
Blue Jays vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$67.26
Twins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.61
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.94
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.92
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.11
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$29.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$27.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$131.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$25.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.