NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x708cddf9a78135173e4a5ee8f0eed57cf794d18315063982b1d6ec6614ed9733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Capitals, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins | 50c | 20,898$10,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,446.96 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Capitals | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Capitals | 50c | 9,082$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.97 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 50c | 8,608$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.2 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Capitals | 34c | 8,463$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.18 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 59c | 5,255$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Penguins | 50c | 4,956$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.3 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Penguins | 71c | 3,619$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.65 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Penguins | 62c | 3,616$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.82 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Capitals | 52c | 2,973$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 49c | 2,094$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.84 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Capitals | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Penguins | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Capitals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 49c | 2,000$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.22 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 49c | 1,439$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.57 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 65c | 1,259$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Penguins | 50c | 1,243$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.72 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Capitals | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.95 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 29c | 1,000$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Capitals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Penguins | 49c | 1,000$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.18 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Capitals | 49c | 999.93$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…ff54backed Penguins | 53c | 940$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed Penguins | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…aef5backed Capitals | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 14c | 892.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 47c | 883.63$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.31 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Capitals | 31c | 857.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…ab82backed Penguins | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed Capitals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 50c | 759$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Capitals | 43c | 701.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Capitals | 29c | 691.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Capitals | 49c | 682.63$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Capitals | 23c | 637.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 49c | 620.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.13 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 67c | 619.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Capitals | 33c | 602.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Capitals | 30c | 580$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 58c | 507.06$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 50c | 482$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Penguins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…ebabbacked Penguins | 50c | 386$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…50cfbacked Capitals | 51c | 378.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…5a38backed Penguins | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b8f8backed Capitals | 51c | 362.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 48c | 322.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 49c | 303.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Capitals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Capitals | 49c | 299.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Capitals | 52c | 289.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 29c | 268.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Capitals | 24c | 222.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Capitals | 55c | 200.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…0672backed Capitals | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…95adbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…ab78backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…7ec6backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…0559backed Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…344ebacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…52efbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…2c9dbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…d317backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…cff7backed Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…0f16backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…599bbacked Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…362cbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…8d13backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…514bbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c5…1ea6backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…f7bebacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…dba6backed Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…6a44backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0810…969cbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…5880backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…a230backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…b1e1backed Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…c062backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…e9fabacked Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…18b8backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…5ca6backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…88bcbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…ffd9backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…e417backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…57c0backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…d047backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…2317backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.