MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee8b1552f745593cacb0d39de001fdeb677af0f1b48c7ddceae87d3647c4ced1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Brewers | 49c | 30,819$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 51c | 11,689$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,718.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 51c | 11,277$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,534.43 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Brewers | 44c | 5,611$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Twins | 58c | 3,110$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.86 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Brewers | 3c | 2,865$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 18c | 2,594$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.28 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 52c | 2,455$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Brewers | 48c | 1,844$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.27 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 47c | 1,685$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.8 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 4c | 1,461$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 52c | 1,313$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 47c | 1,287$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.91 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Brewers | 11c | 1,207$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 52c | 1,125$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Brewers | 22c | 1,051$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 47c | 1,012$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.74 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 51c | 1,001$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.7 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Twins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Brewers | 48c | 969.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 23c | 737.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Twins | 53c | 662.75$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Brewers | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 49c | 416.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 49c | 400.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ab…69d4backed Brewers | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…1226backed Twins | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Twins | 52c | 399.69$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 51c | 382.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 46c | 359.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Twins | 53c | 325$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Brewers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…4b45backed Brewers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…de65backed Twins | 53c | 295$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Brewers | 48c | 290.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Brewers | 48c | 273.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Brewers | 47c | 269.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…26bcbacked Twins | 53c | 265$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Twins | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 57c | 243.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 51c | 214.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Brewers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 51c | 210.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 48c | 199.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…e9e9backed Twins | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…1e9abacked Brewers | 48c | 189$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 17c | 188.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 27c | 122.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…05b3backed Brewers | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Twins | 51c | 107.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…c9b4backed Brewers | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Brewers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Brewers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…1b9cbacked Brewers | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…5051backed Twins | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…510abacked Brewers | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…324ebacked Brewers | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…b218backed Brewers | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Brewers | 33c | 74.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Twins | 53c | 74.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Twins | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…9179backed Twins | 53c | 54.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…3836backed Brewers | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Twins | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Twins | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Twins | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Twins | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Twins | 53c | 42.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Brewers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Brewers | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Twins | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…17a9backed Brewers | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…4a98backed Twins | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…0fdbbacked Brewers | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…5d54backed Twins | 52c | 32.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…bd09backed Brewers | 49c | 32.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Twins | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Twins | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Twins | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brewers | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 59c | 27.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 64c | 25.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Twins | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…a57dbacked Brewers | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0555…55bfbacked Twins | 54c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed Twins | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.