MLB · resolved market
MLB All-Star Game
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93906e82085eec917fe110bda7d6a9b98f296f4215f1c53c8f74e7b69c693e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- National Leagueof American League, National League
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed National League | 54c | 77,340$41,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,538.19 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked American League | 49c | 75,454$36,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,706.37 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed National League | 61c | 25,234$15,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,788.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked American League | 23c | 19,090$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed American League | 23c | 17,997$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed American League | 0c | 15,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed American League | 48c | 14,994$7,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,267.34 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed National League | 50c | 14,478$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.77 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed American League | 1c | 13,547$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked National League | 79c | 13,337$10,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.98 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed American League | 44c | 12,328$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.12 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed National League | 52c | 10,150$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed American League | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed National League | 53c | 8,954$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.49 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed National League | 59c | 8,770$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.29 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked American League | 21c | 8,196$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.3 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked American League | 1c | 6,954$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed National League | 61c | 6,383$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.9 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed American League | 48c | 6,296$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed National League | 52c | 6,220$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.61 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed American League | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed American League | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.95 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed American League | 39c | 5,030$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.57 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked National League | 52c | 4,611$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed National League | 54c | 4,061$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed National League | 69c | 3,869$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked American League | 23c | 3,469$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…884dbacked American League | 1c | 3,093$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed National League | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.55 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed American League | 3c | 2,735$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed American League | 47c | 2,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed American League | 47c | 2,015$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked National League | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked American League | 48c | 1,864$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.65 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed American League | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed National League | 54c | 1,850$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked National League | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed American League | 3c | 1,773$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed American League | 23c | 1,690$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked National League | 54c | 1,638$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.63 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked American League | 50c | 1,619$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…dcfbbacked American League | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68b2backed National League | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked American League | 22c | 1,453$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked National League | 66c | 1,341$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.26 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed American League | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed American League | 39c | 1,225$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.43 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked National League | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked American League | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed American League | 49c | 1,176$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.1 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed American League | 50c | 1,173$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed National League | 52c | 1,158$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.79 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked National League | 52c | 1,138$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.46 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed American League | 1c | 1,014$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…72b0backed American League | 45c | 1,002$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked American League | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.49 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked American League | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked American League | 49c | 999.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked National League | 55c | 986.69$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked National League | 52c | 984.62$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.62 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed American League | 52c | 962.38$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed National League | 53c | 910$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked American League | 47c | 910$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…4e6ebacked American League | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked American League | 46c | 869$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked National League | 52c | 864.08$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…f263backed American League | 49c | 855.41$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…fa8fbacked American League | 49c | 850$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed American League | 40c | 833.89$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed American League | 53c | 777.36$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked National League | 52c | 757.89$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked National League | 54c | 732$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.72 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed National League | 52c | 663.21$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked American League | 17c | 600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed American League | 45c | 599.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed National League | 55c | 571.8$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed American League | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed National League | 54c | 549.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed American League | 49c | 522.45$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed National League | 52c | 518.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked American League | 46c | 506.84$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.15 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked American League | 51c | 503.98$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.03 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…f022backed American League | 20c | 502.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked National League | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed National League | 52c | 489.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.01 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked National League | 53c | 467$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed American League | 49c | 458.37$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…fe56backed National League | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed National League | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed National League | 59c | 441.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed National League | 50c | 436$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed American League | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.45per pick | 52cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed American League | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed American League | 29c | 391.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed National League | 53c | 382.39$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed American League | 16c | 363.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked American League | 45c | 326.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked American League | 51c | 302.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…8840backed American League | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked American League | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.