MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2efb82c3dbccea4ebee170f2e8dae763522f654f269edff25be6952fc963d0e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,134,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,132,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,134,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 685 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Mets | 63c | 801,928$505,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505,214.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 37c | 800,421$296,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504,265.42 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mets | 65c | 55,969$36,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,390.88 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,499.95 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 36c | 18,415$6,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,701.37 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 43c | 16,922$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,664.38 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves | 33c | 16,745$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,214.24 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves | 37c | 14,565$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,175.96 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Mets | 63c | 12,876$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.67 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Braves | 38c | 12,000$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,490 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6939…5417backed Mets | 59c | 11,016$6,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 35c | 9,056$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,889.33 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Braves | 37c | 8,745$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,509.49 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 69c | 8,225$5,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,674.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mets | 64c | 8,003$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.39 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mets | 63c | 7,000$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.69 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 41c | 6,980$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.04 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 64c | 6,649$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.03 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mets | 63c | 5,238$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 37c | 5,189$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.07 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 37c | 4,871$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.8 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mets | 63c | 4,759$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.17 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 63c | 4,444$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.67 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 58c | 4,348$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.96 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 37c | 3,744$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Braves | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Mets | 50c | 2,700$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Braves | 40c | 2,519$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.23 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…03aebacked Braves | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Braves | 41c | 1,756$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.96 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a83fbacked Braves | 37c | 1,700$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Braves | 37c | 1,654$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…d7a7backed Mets | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 34c | 1,586$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Mets | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…ab0abacked Braves | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Braves | 37c | 1,431$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.84 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…6576backed Braves | 37c | 1,405$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…5ee7backed Braves | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 36c | 1,210$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.33 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 26c | 1,200$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…560dbacked Braves | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Braves | 40c | 1,090$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Braves | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…c079backed Mets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mets | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Braves | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…660ebacked Mets | 63c | 967$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…f672backed Braves | 37c | 950$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Mets | 63c | 935$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…81cfbacked Mets | 63c | 915$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…de4fbacked Braves | 37c | 900$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…105abacked Mets | 63c | 851$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…4ca9backed Mets | 63c | 849$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…9e0cbacked Mets | 63c | 833$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Mets | 47c | 820.65$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mets | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 62c | 742.23$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.18 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…3641backed Mets | 63c | 714$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3e6abacked Mets | 63c | 714$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Mets | 63c | 691$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 37c | 663.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.31 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…03a9backed Mets | 63c | 637$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 51c | 634.3$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Braves | 46c | 578.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mets | 66c | 527$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 38c | 526$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Braves | 74c | 523.17$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 64c | 517.26$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.03 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 63c | 512.24$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Braves | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 33c | 497.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 64c | 488.89$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mets | 64c | 471.36$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 64c | 471.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Braves | 36c | 461.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 38c | 451$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 63c | 443$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 36c | 399.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Mets | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Mets | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Mets | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 62c | 388.39$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Mets | 62c | 387$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mets | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Braves | 37c | 377.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.51 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 37c | 352.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.79 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 36c | 349.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Braves | 46c | 313$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Braves | 37c | 305.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 14c | 301.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Braves | 37c | 269.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Mets | 16c | 245$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 64c | 233.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mets | 22c | 223.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.