South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa576ef6757d86a425b0f0d6d89d7908ffbbe6f022d904428ef15067e66d4bb1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 61c | 11,102$6,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.46 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 39c | 5,513$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.82 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 5,153$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,321$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 39c | 2,305$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.05 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 1,513$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 46c | 822.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.51 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…eeb0backed Yes | 70c | 742.96$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 73c | 707.45$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 63c | 581.79$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.53 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 39c | 429.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.53 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 36c | 372$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d35backed No | 3c | 347.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes | 39c | 327$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 304.2$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 37c | 299.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 38c | 243.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 36c | 198$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 37c | 194.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 159.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Yes | 38c | 128.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 30c | 128.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked No | 62c | 124.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 74c | 117.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 36c | 97.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 41c | 97.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 94.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…5b50backed No | 61c | 93.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 15c | 79.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…3f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…2198backed Yes | 39c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…80e6backed No | 62c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 69.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 68.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…f81ebacked No | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 38c | 55.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…17a9backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…742bbacked No | 62c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7a1bbacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 49.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 49.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…4da2backed Yes | 70c | 43.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…d42ebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…7606backed Yes | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…1d43backed No | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 65c | 26.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…1c30backed Yes | 69c | 24.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…c1cbbacked No | 65c | 23.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 63c | 22.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…cb5dbacked Yes | 70c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 57c | 18.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 62c | 17.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.