South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c3191633bda8202e3622f6b3a2b55abe8af3d6d6f0646ef9a144b4a4baed39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 70c | 8,189$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.73 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 3,978$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.83 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,081$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 71c | 2,313$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.86 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 69c | 1,499$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.83 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,214$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.43 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 609$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 29c | 374.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 301.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 244.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 76c | 205.12$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed No | 71c | 205$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 32c | 199.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 125.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 115.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 30c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 79.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Yes | 32c | 75.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 28c | 65.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 30c | 62.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 31c | 57.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 50.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…73eebacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 71c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.