South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91f12f84b673c1d40c2a54b443f488671db98fd8309a05f9947f552a36c31d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,080,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Yes | 52c | 421,002$220,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,148.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 52c | 234,247$122,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,056.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 46c | 135,404$62,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,285.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 48c | 100,099$47,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,330.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 76,796$41,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,370.04 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked No | 46c | 67,778$31,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,425.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 48c | 57,838$27,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,075.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 49,708$23,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,441.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 42,970$19,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,188 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 47c | 27,683$12,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,925.83 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 27,273$13,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,368.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 25,500$13,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,619.98 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 25c | 21,194$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.46 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Yes | 53c | 18,674$9,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 18,451$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854.04 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 17,218$8,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,139.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 46c | 16,360$7,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,525.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 14,302$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320.7 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 46c | 11,044$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 46c | 10,781$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 46c | 10,305$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.83 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 47c | 10,230$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.18 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 19c | 10,141$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 8,023$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.94 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 6,106$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.02 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 50c | 5,236$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.83 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 11c | 5,137$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.89 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 52c | 5,088$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 47c | 5,056$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.07 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 53c | 4,515$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,421$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 48c | 3,555$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 49c | 3,359$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 50c | 3,273$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.6 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 48c | 3,094$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 3,004$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.44 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 48c | 2,865$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.9 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 50c | 2,838$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 56c | 2,778$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked No | 47c | 2,692$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 29c | 2,682$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.01 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 29c | 2,676$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.24 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 47c | 2,570$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 55c | 2,555$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 46c | 2,446$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed No | 50c | 2,234$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,011$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.99 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Yes | 55c | 1,911$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 1,793$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.66 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed No | 47c | 1,725$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 55c | 1,448$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 55c | 1,418$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.39 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 1,313$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.07 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 1,257$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.04 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 50c | 1,200$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.5 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 29c | 1,147$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked No | 47c | 1,136$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 1,082$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.83 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 907$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.35 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 59c | 867$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 46c | 659.94$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Yes | 51c | 637.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21f…9372backed No | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 47c | 591$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…b6d3backed No | 2c | 565.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 58c | 557$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Yes | 46c | 541$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 50c | 540$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf250…de38backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 496.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 469.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Yes | 49c | 415.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 408.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 52c | 404.62$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 49c | 392.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 51c | 391.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Yes | 45c | 390.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 47c | 386.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 51c | 349.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 54c | 344.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…d2f1backed Yes | 52c | 337.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 39c | 326$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 48c | 325.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 52c | 324.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-02-12?No won
- Will Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.