MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeec503a0e6ca794e5e91140863665591532d2c440dce588172655b725b43040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 58c | 27,240$15,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,799.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 4c | 27,028$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.11 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Royals | 42c | 19,442$8,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.47 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Royals | 42c | 12,443$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,216.71 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 42c | 10,041$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.66 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Cubs | 43c | 9,760$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.21 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 15c | 8,379$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 80c | 4,285$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 40c | 3,132$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.65 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 50c | 3,006$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Royals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Royals | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.97 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 8c | 2,462$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 57c | 2,378$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.46 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…45debacked Royals | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Royals | 42c | 1,656$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.35 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 41c | 1,460$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…5c9bbacked Cubs | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…88b9backed Royals | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Royals | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a6…a9a1backed Royals | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Cubs | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6bdebacked Cubs | 57c | 1,196$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Cubs | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed Cubs | 58c | 1,086$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…56f1backed Cubs | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 2c | 1,055$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…f5febacked Cubs | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 43c | 1,030$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.23 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 58c | 1,003$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.71 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 59c | 956$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.86 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Royals | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Royals | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 6c | 880$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Cubs | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Royals | 41c | 819.79$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Royals | 31c | 800.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.57 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 60c | 773.5$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 42c | 733.04$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.16 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Cubs | 59c | 705.08$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cubs | 57c | 699.37$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 41c | 568.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.71 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Royals | 71c | 539.74$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Royals | 42c | 534.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.3 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…44bebacked Cubs | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…4ac4backed Royals | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 72c | 497.65$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 59c | 414$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Royals | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Cubs | 57c | 353.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 51c | 312.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 72c | 284.02$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Cubs | 6c | 273.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 42c | 256$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 43c | 248$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Royals | 43c | 247.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 41c | 245.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 43c | 220.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 43c | 213.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cubs | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 57c | 183.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Royals | 43c | 171$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Cubs | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs | 58c | 159.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2c06backed Cubs | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Cubs | 59c | 128.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed Cubs | 57c | 128.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…9aedbacked Royals | 44c | 127.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Cubs | 57c | 124.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…80e6backed Cubs | 57c | 124$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…be58backed Cubs | 58c | 121$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Cubs | 57c | 118.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Cubs | 60c | 116.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cubs | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…7948backed Cubs | 58c | 109$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Cubs | 57c | 107.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Cubs | 59c | 102.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Cubs | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Cubs | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…17a9backed Royals | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Royals | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…4d20backed Royals | 44c | 89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cd…3477backed Royals | 44c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…df85backed Cubs | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Cubs | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Cubs | 59c | 79.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.