TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$440,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$458,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Yes30c102,136$30,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,817.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No62c62,600$38,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,980.6414356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked No74c33,627$24,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,898.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No59c29,090$17,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,947.3912246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No70c27,103$18,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,116.82378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd545…047fbacked Yes44c26,745$11,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,654.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes38c20,799$7,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,893.382025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes23c19,546$4,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,520.522429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes31c16,679$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.381540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c13,514$9,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No64c12,045$7,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.9521337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes45c11,249$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.275337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes44c11,140$4,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.563228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No63c9,216$5,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.733658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No68c8,464$5,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.9214458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes42c7,886$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes29c7,793$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.243716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes40c7,160$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.686732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc58…490ebacked Yes44c5,937$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No63c5,854$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.066051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ad…9d3abacked No74c5,284$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No56c5,237$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes32c5,038$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.355733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No59c4,506$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.878330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes33c4,309$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4231421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No67c4,068$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.645759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No64c3,821$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.9712353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No67c3,200$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.996100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes34c3,169$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.123917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes44c3,050$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34213219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes43c3,000$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.742536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes37c2,663$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3acd…eacfbacked Yes45c2,220$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed No56c2,143$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No66c2,084$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.481315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked No57c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No58c1,400$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed No69c1,371$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.31346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes54c1,127$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.746633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No57c1,098$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.975255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No60c1,055$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.094472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf334…0a0fbacked No54c1,039$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…a71cbacked Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No70c983$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.98127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes44c948.14$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…51ccbacked Yes27c920.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502540%10 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No62c887.43$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.645763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf85f…9800backed Yes47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No74c838.2$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.936866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No71c803.34$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes31c764$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.841926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes9c742.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.39570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1974…29edbacked Yes27c702$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9719…47e3backed Yes47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No71c632.12$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.441741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes16c630.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xea59…129bbacked Yes33c615.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes20c605$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.855630.4%17 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4fc…a861backed Yes25c599.14$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.93728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No70c573.23$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.794673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No56c566.1$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.179165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No69c555$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0510051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes44c550$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc604…51e6backed Yes4c532.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf8…5d1dbacked Yes48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No49c515.28$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.159223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No69c514.78$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.842181%17 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+43.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb96d…e64fbacked No57c484.85$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.48156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-88.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No55c470.19$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.026966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddc7…581bbacked No57c449.12$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…2833backed Yes44c435.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes47c421.89$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…a488backed No70c421.43$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.431080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d9…a9bdbacked Yes43c415.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No72c415$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.23167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b15…569abacked No47c410$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.51560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d4…84a1backed No42c407.19$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.673259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No68c392$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.681464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e8…ea32backed Yes46c366.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked Yes42c363.16$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.921030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ad…18f4backed Yes31c354.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e2…871dbacked Yes34c349.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1234…654cbacked Yes46c340$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No72c332.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.246845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes27c332.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.624134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47df…b805backed Yes35c328.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes26c320$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed No44c319.86$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.865922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes42c316.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.