F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118367d74c71eb1a0da1ec3a5813cc9ff0e02d36c7787eb8a6aa295b2be41c35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 8,209$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,863$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.51 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 8c | 5,308$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…dd11backed Yes | 7c | 5,177$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 4,630$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,498$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.14 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…9d3abacked No | 70c | 4,064$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes | 4c | 3,455$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…77d5backed Yes | 5c | 3,348$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,828$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 31c | 2,775$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.96 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 11c | 2,333$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,316$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.92 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 31c | 2,132$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.02 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 2,124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…3b95backed Yes | 5c | 1,979$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…e64fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,953$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed No | 69c | 1,874$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 5c | 1,787$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 6c | 1,770$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 1,681$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 67c | 1,592$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.82 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed No | 72c | 1,474$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 76c | 1,424$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.8 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 10c | 1,246$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b9…e8f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,245$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,054$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 3c | 1,049$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bec…1664backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 7c | 925.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 8c | 913$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 7c | 910$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 32c | 753.68$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 3c | 637.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…c2eebacked Yes | 11c | 634.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Yes | 4c | 460$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 31c | 320.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 32c | 319.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…e383backed Yes | 6c | 317$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…94d7backed Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 32c | 310.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a2…3308backed Yes | 5c | 306.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…480ebacked Yes | 13c | 286.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…4b39backed Yes | 7c | 286.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…bf49backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…447ebacked Yes | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 31c | 238.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Yes | 12c | 164.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…18f4backed Yes | 10c | 154.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Yes | 32c | 149.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 123.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…31b3backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…b66ebacked Yes | 33c | 91.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc79…7609backed Yes | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…c804backed Yes | 30c | 67.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…6faabacked No | 71c | 57.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 65c | 57.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…93a9backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked No | 70c | 35.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…8336backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 68c | 15.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.