TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x364f…562c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.67
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$22.7
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$59.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$5.28
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of March 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.59
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$15.9
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$8.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61%+$32.93
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$20.9
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$54.3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$35.42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$55.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.1%+$8.83
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+77.1%+$11.57
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$4.59
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$10.82
F1 Singapore GP: Alonso vs. Strollbacked Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$4.87
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$33.42
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.7%+$7.15
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+32.8%+$4.59
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26%+$5.97
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$26
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$23.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-72.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.