TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,343 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes0c11,467$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.828632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes13c9,660$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.9813444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes1c8,600$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes16c6,544$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.327420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa34…2ccbbacked Yes4c5,143$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+43%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes44c4,948$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.5948224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ca…74e2backed Yes17c3,291$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Yes1c2,796$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…aecebacked Yes29c2,370$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c4…86a9backed No55c2,335$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.379631.3%30 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes33c2,000$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.0613446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes42c1,682$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.8257636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17bb…3621backed Yes2c1,340$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.612030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe004…7849backed No45c1,292$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.38933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes11c1,192$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.623823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes23c1,147$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3834726.8%93 W · 254 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682d…31abbacked Yes16c1,045$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.935628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b0…d650backed No77c1,019$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.887570.7%53 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf3…68aebacked Yes1c1,002$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f24…3c42backed Yes22c891.72$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.611435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ca…f2b6backed Yes14c849.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No77c710.97$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8332255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes28c706$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.681442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b40…96e3backed Yes22c644.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No78c639.53$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.174035%14 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed No72c629$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.12540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5f97backed Yes18c620.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.52329.4%3 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbd46…922ebacked Yes20c590.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…93a4backed Yes13c584.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.73125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes25c520.02$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.887044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No75c498$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.054544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe561…10f1backed Yes54c459.65$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.211050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No71c437.07$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.941,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes14c425.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.235328.3%15 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes17c422.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.913941%16 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d8…d5acbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed Yes15c411.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed Yes19c385$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.15825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd0…2e83backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.84938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8200…df37backed Yes15c335.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked Yes25c332$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.685837.9%22 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…d7f1backed Yes21c305.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes58c303.67$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.131855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes6c302$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0515014%21 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0327…5e15backed Yes13c301.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6781…8d6fbacked Yes17c296.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aba…c083backed No49c260.87$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.848036.3%29 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No59c252.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5811222.3%25 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc636…5ef9backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes12c247.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8715650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes13c240$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3191…c919backed Yes20c233.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes51c231.31$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6915026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5a50backed Yes14c223.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.811020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c215.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c213.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6656314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No53c208.55$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7646330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes30c205$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.52853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3de…e227backed Yes19c204.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3823921.3%51 W · 188 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9e…bdb6backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…ac70backed Yes10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf95…694dbacked No74c197$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe511…64c4backed Yes33c190$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf2…a5aebacked Yes21c189.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8e…ca3abacked Yes13c182.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51cb…b63ebacked Yes33c182$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab46…bd09backed Yes14c180.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…5f74backed Yes8c179.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f0…0ba8backed Yes33c178$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…78eebacked Yes33c176$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…fed2backed Yes21c173.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca54…203dbacked Yes33c171$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7975…b464backed Yes33c169$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…8eaabacked Yes33c168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes21c167.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.672832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a4…4badbacked Yes33c167$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad43…c7f0backed Yes33c166$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6595…8df5backed Yes26c161.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7957…86f1backed Yes33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…aef1backed Yes31c159.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes19c157.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3408…fafdbacked Yes33c152$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No78c149.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7827438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No79c142.17$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2316343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b41…df0bbacked Yes32c139$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.48450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+1,044.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd90…7b44backed Yes22c128$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes11c127.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.896448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes20c126.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.151118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick8cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207027.1%19 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9095…89bcbacked Yes15c123.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…59b0backed No72c122$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.161145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yes29c119.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes19c119.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb9…5d3fbacked Yes11c117.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b0…f04abacked Yes32c113.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.