TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9095…89bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$20.1
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$9.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$101.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$27.09
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.17
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.86
Will AEK win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.47
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$75.32
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+45%+$24.73
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75%+$32.98
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$17.17
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$40.86
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+222.6%+$33.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.45
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$52.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.