TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,862 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…c2a4backed Over46c34,503$15,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,631.73837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under54c20,930$11,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,302.172955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c6,004$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.1891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under56c4,769$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.413154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.978124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over45c2,772$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c2,447$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.1711242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under55c2,222$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under54c1,836$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under60c1,124$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3952243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over46c1,105$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.494045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93c…caeebacked Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c928.11$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.092,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under56c847.24$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over36c832.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.832630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb84e…f1dbbacked Over45c720$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+130.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb388…3e65backed Under56c710$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9044…a0f1backed Under56c680$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407b…e0fabacked Over45c670$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under37c657$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c648.04$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.973,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32433349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.186929%20 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under55c544.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.731942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c472.35$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over65c468.48$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c467.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.396844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.784151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c401.87$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.075540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…3680backed Under60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c314$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5610941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under54c249.14$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.445554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c226.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.827054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.782740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48da…1307backed Over43c173$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Under61c164.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45bf…c932backed Over44c163$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe69e…26a1backed Over43c159$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe204…0ca8backed Under56c155.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Over40c152$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.754348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over45c144.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.441225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae9…4e2bbacked Over43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Over46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefc…3a9dbacked Over44c138$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over45c133.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1717249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd5…46b6backed Over44c133$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.435554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over46c121.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed Under58c116.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over43c112.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.063956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.119748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Under57c110.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6213337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over44c91.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under58c84.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+59.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0926647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198d…4be3backed Under57c73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under16c71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe057…8061backed Under57c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Over45c68.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.614100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+137.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ffc…b220backed Under57c68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over43c65.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.561,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b38…6e4ebacked Under57c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over45c62.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x402c…5380backed Under57c61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Over46c60.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.62552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7278…737dbacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…e3dabacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over43c56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7710254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.569638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over46c53.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.673850%19 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.