Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a926e4c3696976f86966fc9515b6da9becb4d65b31671a1d29f471f99f2d987

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bologna FC 1909of AS Roma, Bologna FC 1909
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,716 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 1909	73c	3,717$2,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.45	2,999	42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L	+7.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked AS Roma	28c	3,457$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed AS Roma	29c	1,136$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.94	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Bologna FC 1909	71c	1,100$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 1909	71c	808.74$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.88	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Bologna FC 1909	71c	530.99$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.99	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed AS Roma	29c	499.99$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	1,026	47.4%486 W · 540 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Bologna FC 1909	70c	399.99$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.3wins	-0.25per pick	49cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed AS Roma	30c	343$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked AS Roma	28c	339.13$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.96	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed AS Roma	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked AS Roma	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked AS Roma	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked AS Roma	27c	196.52$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.06	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bologna FC 1909	73c	192$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.84	555	45.8%254 W · 301 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Bologna FC 1909	71c	176.06$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.06	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Bologna FC 1909	72c	129.22$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.18	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Bologna FC 1909	71c	110$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed AS Roma	30c	90.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Bologna FC 1909	74c	76.59$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.81	706	39.5%279 W · 427 L	-16.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf646…00c1backed AS Roma	31c	71.55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Bologna FC 1909	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed AS Roma	28c	67.81$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-18.8wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-47%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed AS Roma	29c	53.64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bologna FC 1909	71c	52$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed AS Roma	26c	51.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	1,316	50.8%668 W · 648 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Bologna FC 1909	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed AS Roma	28c	40.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bologna FC 1909	70c	40.13$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	920	50.9%468 W · 452 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked AS Roma	30c	39.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed AS Roma	30c	37.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed AS Roma	30c	35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bologna FC 1909	72c	21.55$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.03	165	43.6%72 W · 93 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…ed18backed Bologna FC 1909	71c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)this page
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)AS Roma won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event