TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf646…00c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.91
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$19
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$18.81
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$29.56
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+115%+$14.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+94.8%+$35.54
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.26
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.69
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.04
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.6
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.47
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120%+$80.02
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+144.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+126.9%+$24.11
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.86
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Elena Pridankinabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$13.36
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Ealabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.