TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$836,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,051 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked B833c151,739$50,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,415.2542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed B816c100,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.68825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Spirit58c59,999$34,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,299.739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed B80c27,702$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.453746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Spirit63c20,400$12,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,474.666656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked B812c16,850$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9845855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed B836c16,100$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,784.163852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked B834c15,555$5,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,286.6827133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed B815c15,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.691,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B820c9,887$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9371,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Spirit55c9,357$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.085,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit63c8,025$5,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.0815050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit71c7,895$5,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.034,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B843c7,794$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.191,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Spirit68c7,203$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.6529858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked B829c6,979$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc05…013abacked Spirit52c6,872$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.184971.4%35 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spirit53c6,247$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.0214441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked B817c6,040$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.6120539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed B824c5,945$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.4117240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B835c5,533$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.891,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed B816c5,512$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.8819645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked B838c5,425$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.3313756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked B811c5,370$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.1212736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit73c5,119$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spirit60c5,000$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.3912648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked B837c4,982$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.1815760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit74c4,950$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28725555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B834c4,751$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.241,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Spirit63c4,470$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.3846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked B817c4,444$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.484546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit69c4,231$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.122,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked B816c4,137$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6221424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B817c4,108$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.452,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B817c4,000$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.771,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked B815c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed B816c3,903$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B816c3,772$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.681,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed B830c3,702$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.036858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed B820c3,688$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.1855236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Spirit73c3,440$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.64459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Spirit58c3,400$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4421163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Spirit66c3,320$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.873,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Spirit59c3,098$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.325848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Spirit59c3,000$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.6616343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed Spirit76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7206168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spirit46c2,739$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.8861837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed B815c2,664$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6512426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B819c2,624$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.435,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed B84c2,611$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.918549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit49c2,561$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.967,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked B818c2,553$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.5335850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed B827c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22d…7336backed Spirit73c2,193$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.151855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b1…b9d7backed B816c2,159$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.481442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed B838c2,150$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.751,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit70c2,143$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.591,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed B87c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Spirit59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Spirit56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked Spirit76c1,949$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.865750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12a…f637backed B825c1,925$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.141369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed B821c1,751$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5617230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked Spirit51c1,677$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.628351.8%43 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed B860c1,669$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Spirit67c1,613$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.329647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Spirit75c1,581$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1436554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4564…c051backed B85c1,559$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf6…0d60backed B810c1,490$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8912439.5%49 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B836c1,353$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked B87c1,331$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5132930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked B837c1,290$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.410345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6a…ba57backed B837c1,247$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked B88c1,243$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccd…898fbacked Spirit53c1,225$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked B812c1,119$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed B82c1,087$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.016535.4%23 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Spirit58c1,063$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5816546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Spirit78c1,058$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5513446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5a…aca1backed B832c1,041$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.597365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B828c1,020$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spirit60c1,006$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.3336245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Spirit56c1,003$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1211361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked B817c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1707832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed B824c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Spirit49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked B860c983.1$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.240950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed B84c927.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369250%46 W · 46 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967b…cc39backed B833c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Spirit57c888$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8414853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked B816c863.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.385,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Spirit71c814.99$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.164967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e9a…e41bbacked Spirit66c799.99$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Spirit65c778.92$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6217954.7%98 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a877backed Spirit66c759.99$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.42272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Spirit67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed B810c699.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9920332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Spirit43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6750340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed B84c691.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6610541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.