TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of Spirit, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,437 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e38…de0fbacked B841c15,537$6,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,197.5815760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed B840c15,000$5,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,002.293852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Spirit0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Spirit74c10,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.973953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B854c8,000$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.591,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit45c6,185$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.762,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit49c6,000$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.074,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B855c5,999$3,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.81,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B847c5,730$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.053,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit60c5,001$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B849c4,001$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.9189546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Spirit40c4,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.991,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Spirit41c3,743$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.523,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Spirit52c3,591$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86220838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B860c3,296$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.5782143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit70c2,368$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.6346349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit59c2,200$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29825655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed B830c1,919$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.2624944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spirit38c1,845$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed B865c1,792$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.219549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit36c1,747$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.76,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9975545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit74c1,176$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2745357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Spirit49c1,150$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed Spirit71c1,035$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.928065%52 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed B856c1,020$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.238050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed B830c1,012$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.1414532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit10c979.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.432,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed Spirit55c912.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B868c903.17$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.015,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked B853c803.07$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.547865.4%51 W · 27 L+13.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Spirit56c799.68$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.824946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d4…41fbbacked Spirit19c774.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Spirit62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43412742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed B879c699.97$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9939468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Spirit70c697.55$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.2840950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed B841c676.75$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.288751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Spirit44c619.79$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Spirit19c605.6$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0617042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Spirit19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11431444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Spirit60c594.87$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.823652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3635…053abacked Spirit60c592.32$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967b…cc39backed B854c541.24$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed B826c539.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.6232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit52c538.1$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.854,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B869c518.53$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.837,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed B852c507.78$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.091,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed B852c501.54$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2260848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed B869c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1583643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit4c483$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Spirit21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit27c438$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit69c409.37$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.472,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Spirit31c399.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9936837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Spirit34c369.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3662938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…a6c8backed Spirit56c330$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Spirit75c320$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8115063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed B863c315.66$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed B869c312.58$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.99340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda1c…15f2backed B844c303.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed B826c285.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2696743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc38d…850abacked B865c275.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.385569.1%38 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Spirit65c256.72$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.879552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed B859c245.54$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.651,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed B847c237.2$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.061,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfa…e053backed B849c227.74$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.082250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Spirit60c207.63$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1246536.9%24 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Spirit74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14818657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked B845c191.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9929547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed B827c185.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.786735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Spirit75c184.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0323557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f1…1445backed Spirit44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.47656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Spirit46c153.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8369635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked B848c150.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8559647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Spirit46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed B847c142.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Spirit74c135.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.666256.5%35 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Spirit74c135.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf75…92cfbacked Spirit36c122.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.016456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed B865c119.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0821956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Spirit49c111.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4180744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d82…0d44backed Spirit45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.514056.4%79 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Spirit20c107.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Spirit21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Spirit70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2854346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Spirit30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked Spirit30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018959.8%113 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked B870c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked B828c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.991,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Spirit40c99.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0337841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spirit18c98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.542,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Spirit21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205232.7%17 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Spirit21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04da…3a9fbacked Spirit69c86.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011159.5%66 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed B852c83.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4952755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x840e…76f4backed Spirit77c80.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68ec…70a5backed Spirit64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.23557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Spirit64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014141.1%58 W · 83 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…abfebacked Spirit44c76.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.162343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.