TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcab…abfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+241.3%+$26.3
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+353.8%+$59.02
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$53.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.16
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$18.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+183.2%+$46.44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+354.5%+$39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.84
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+308%+$40.04
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+203%+$20.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 4: Juarez vs. Anderson (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.