TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,011 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Vici Gaming36c58,185$20,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,945.7528748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit64c57,164$36,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,678.8555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Spirit66c22,730$14,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,798.0211854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit67c14,337$9,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.654556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Vici Gaming35c14,225$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,978.6816147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Vici Gaming33c13,323$4,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.4736041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Vici Gaming42c6,596$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7416637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming38c5,878$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.6733041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming38c5,670$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.921,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Vici Gaming32c5,355$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.345431.5%17 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Vici Gaming36c5,100$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.9922643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit55c4,346$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.4832854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Team Spirit58c4,245$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.763333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit69c3,860$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.4318362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit68c3,571$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.4918661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit52c3,518$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.153451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Vici Gaming34c3,482$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.989153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Vici Gaming34c3,464$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.464654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Team Spirit64c3,131$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.111359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Vici Gaming37c3,100$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.9718156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Spirit49c3,000$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.216142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9941042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit68c2,964$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.9296357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Vici Gaming36c2,766$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.434932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Vici Gaming55c2,620$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.6138049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Vici Gaming44c2,441$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.049636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit59c2,328$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.612,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Vici Gaming38c2,119$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.3613020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked Team Spirit55c2,045$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.321181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+56.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Vici Gaming60c2,012$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.346852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit70c2,010$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2341655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Vici Gaming33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9979559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Spirit68c1,767$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.6912156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Vici Gaming34c1,750$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5955642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit65c1,548$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.0415653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming31c1,511$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.971,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming35c1,461$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6977941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming29c1,453$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming32c1,367$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5152243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Vici Gaming36c1,300$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46311346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Vici Gaming52c1,290$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66638653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming39c1,284$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Vici Gaming6c1,280$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8116821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Vici Gaming60c1,262$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76230356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc327…c72abacked Vici Gaming63c1,257$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.4611753%62 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Team Spirit64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit64c1,199$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7960349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit49c1,121$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.462,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Team Spirit66c1,056$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.982369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit66c1,016$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2246649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Vici Gaming36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Vici Gaming34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34031545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Vici Gaming36c985.81$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7923746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Spirit51c950.08$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.2215650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Team Spirit62c939.89$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.261163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Team Spirit53c935$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.1537047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit64c929.3$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5316550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit70c926.37$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming45c921.39$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Spirit66c914.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2225457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming49c907.46$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8436851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming32c892.8$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5780443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Team Spirit61c851.75$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2721346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Vici Gaming60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48091756.5%518 W · 399 L+79.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Team Spirit66c760$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.42445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Vici Gaming33c756.85$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.937424.3%18 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit60c717.57$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.91,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Vici Gaming35c712.03$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1650832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Vici Gaming23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Team Spirit64c700$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25023050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Vici Gaming46c699.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.995750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbb…87c3backed Vici Gaming28c686.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming36c666$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7685851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit62c624.63$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Vici Gaming39c622.65$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9545061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03e…da65backed Vici Gaming65c620$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.056650%33 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Vici Gaming41c602.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c6…54cbbacked Vici Gaming14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845246.2%24 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+38.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked Vici Gaming43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2589051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit50c599.99$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29761548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Vici Gaming65c590.5$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Vici Gaming54c577$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.132652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming21c559.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.971,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Team Spirit65c530.77$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7710141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming38c530.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Vici Gaming59c524.56$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.277258.5%452 W · 320 L+74.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Vici Gaming52c500.01$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0128549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming57c500$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Team Spirit61c500$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1796942.8%415 W · 554 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c4…4682backed Vici Gaming3c500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13023650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Vici Gaming37c499.8$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.753540%14 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815a…2540backed Team Spirit65c497.06$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.971758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Spirit45c496.26$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6626351%134 W · 129 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Team Spirit64c484.52$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.12556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Vici Gaming39c465$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.760251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf657…f8d0backed Team Spirit62c456.21$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.363342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked Team Spirit64c453.3$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.113247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.