TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$769,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $769,657 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic41c236,046$96,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,316.8842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FUT Esports60c100,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,00039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports66c51,384$33,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,623.461,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports58c24,052$13,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,177.8188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports58c22,618$13,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,474.5472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.9930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed FUT Esports59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.974557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed FUT Esports59c19,000$11,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7903852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c4f…0f33backed Heroic32c18,828$5,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.771250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports60c14,727$8,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,948.261,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Heroic40c13,733$5,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,532.466656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed FUT Esports59c12,496$7,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,123.1957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked FUT Esports75c11,679$8,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.3914954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed FUT Esports60c10,000$5,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.6519645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FUT Esports59c9,999$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.7736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Heroic23c9,526$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.3115760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb275…acf5backed FUT Esports57c9,333$5,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,981.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heroic41c8,246$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FUT Esports55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed FUT Esports59c7,644$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.0715249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FUT Esports59c7,366$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.0144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Heroic43c7,051$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.413240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked FUT Esports62c7,003$4,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.8412736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports59c6,610$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.1359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked FUT Esports57c6,077$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.2232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed FUT Esports57c6,069$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.0646949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FUT Esports60c5,700$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.0519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Heroic30c5,516$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.777537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports60c5,222$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.8833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Heroic6c5,151$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked FUT Esports59c5,090$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.225751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed FUT Esports63c4,906$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.1937646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Heroic42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic25c4,705$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1761,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic29c4,125$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.164,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Heroic25c4,006$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heroic41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.9914934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports59c3,771$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.35,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic24c3,688$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.021,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Heroic44c3,580$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.210138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic41c3,486$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.3683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic22c3,437$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.6661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Heroic29c3,304$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.956858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Heroic45c3,049$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.9646149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23042142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Heroic43c2,640$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.1910550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed FUT Esports59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.3713059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heroic42c2,507$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.924846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heroic14c2,488$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8132930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed FUT Esports65c2,392$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.64944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Heroic16c2,392$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.723351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd56…8f60backed FUT Esports59c2,388$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Heroic25c2,271$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.9738037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Heroic36c2,254$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.7317840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked FUT Esports78c2,201$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.325855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic23c2,130$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.775,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Heroic23c2,094$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.711,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic40c2,093$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.1984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FUT Esports72c2,073$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9852947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed FUT Esports59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports57c2,000$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic25c1,991$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.677,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed FUT Esports57c1,923$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.372634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ac…a09bbacked Heroic43c1,911$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8241752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic16c1,852$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.152,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Heroic33c1,807$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.973,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed FUT Esports74c1,801$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6246843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Heroic24c1,798$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.4116235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Heroic17c1,748$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2219549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic19c1,737$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.362,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x892b…7a23backed FUT Esports59c1,678$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed FUT Esports62c1,615$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.7911361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed FUT Esports68c1,595$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.5729647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic21c1,592$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports61c1,526$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.741,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic16c1,408$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.283,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Heroic36c1,300$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.6416149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0008…efa9backed Heroic15c1,263$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed FUT Esports60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic23c1,243$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic31c1,221$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.276,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked FUT Esports74c1,221$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.284452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports65c1,193$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.661,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed FUT Esports59c1,187$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6336554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed FUT Esports59c1,148$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.1434146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Heroic43c1,074$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Heroic42c1,060$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.23756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…b339backed FUT Esports59c1,050$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Heroic42c1,027$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5533044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed FUT Esports56c1,025$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45124944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Heroic44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed FUT Esports61c1,001$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.1633960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Heroic42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Heroic37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked FUT Esports59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41010058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Heroic41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4107832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Heroic41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FUT Esports60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0346345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FUT Esports59c999.96$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9811852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.