CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d615503c39a98c969a37076f6f56d46a5c93b3ac874417f9bd6819fe333db39

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Heroic
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,594 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9c30…54a2backed FUT Esports	78c	14,836$11,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,226.81	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic	47c	13,056$6,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,136.87	307	26.4%81 W · 226 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports	53c	4,935$2,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,319.36	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Heroic	27c	4,344$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176.38	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Heroic	19c	3,267$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.6	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports	65c	3,176$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.55	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports	64c	2,955$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.69	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic	13c	2,458$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.43	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic	20c	1,736$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.33	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic	19c	1,500$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.51	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Heroic	16c	1,200$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	314	44.9%141 W · 173 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Heroic	47c	1,168$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.74	461	49.9%230 W · 231 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports	79c	963.08$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.75	550	43.1%237 W · 313 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic	10c	803$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.27	547	32.2%176 W · 371 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic	22c	697.65$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.08	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked FUT Esports	79c	678.98$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.89	451	62.3%281 W · 170 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports	53c	678.85$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.64	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Heroic	50c	668$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334	249	44.6%111 W · 138 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed FUT Esports	65c	462.61$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.61	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28f…9185backed FUT Esports	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed Heroic	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-5.2wins	-0.20per pick	55cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Heroic	3c	397.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	148	53.4%79 W · 69 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed FUT Esports	53c	388$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.66	80	65%52 W · 28 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a4…06f5backed Heroic	51c	340.45$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed FUT Esports	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	106	63.2%67 W · 39 L	+10.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Heroic	39c	293.36$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	608	57.2%348 W · 260 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed FUT Esports	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-5.1wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	398	51.3%204 W · 194 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked FUT Esports	79c	152.27$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.98	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic	26c	136.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.39	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked FUT Esports	72c	127.06$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.14	295	47.8%141 W · 154 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed FUT Esports	69c	110.05$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.36	447	43.8%196 W · 251 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f1…14b7backed Heroic	34c	106.94$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.36	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	62cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed Heroic	49c	101.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic	15c	99.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed FUT Esports	53c	90$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.3	292	44.5%130 W · 162 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Heroic	18c	89.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	178	36.5%65 W · 113 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked FUT Esports	75c	87.38$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	157	60.5%95 W · 62 L	+15.8wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed FUT Esports	53c	86$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.78	463	44.5%206 W · 257 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed FUT Esports	72c	79.54$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.36	527	55.8%294 W · 233 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed FUT Esports	53c	74.81$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.81	603	58.5%353 W · 250 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fd…d60dbacked Heroic	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports	57c	66.84$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.9	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd7…ebb7backed FUT Esports	63c	65.16$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.11	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Heroic	24c	62.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked FUT Esports	70c	60.77$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.28	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Heroic	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	374	45.7%171 W · 203 L	-29.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed FUT Esports	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	-33.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked FUT Esports	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	543	46.2%251 W · 292 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…76eabacked FUT Esports	53c	49.06$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic	34c	47.06$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed FUT Esports	72c	45.38$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	807	44.6%360 W · 447 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports	63c	44$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.28	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports	49c	43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.92	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FUT Esports	52c	40.38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.38	268	36.6%98 W · 170 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Heroic	27c	37.27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	291	28.5%83 W · 208 L	-30.2wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf24…1208backed Heroic	33c	36.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked FUT Esports	55c	35.47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FUT Esports	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.37	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Heroic	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	499	47.5%237 W · 262 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2a…739dbacked FUT Esports	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FUT Esports	74c	28.43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	339	49%166 W · 173 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed FUT Esports	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked FUT Esports	63c	22.79$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.43	596	47.3%282 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event