CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af8ee495465120944de8096a66d020c29fc9e12329d72832b90a3469a62048b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof FUT Esports, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,762 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 46c | 1,185$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,134$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.43 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 33c | 490.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Heroic | 67c | 447.17$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Heroic | 71c | 262.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Heroic | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked FUT Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports | 33c | 192.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Heroic | 67c | 149.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed FUT Esports | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 287 | 40.8%117 W · 170 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…fad9backed Heroic | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed FUT Esports | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed FUT Esports | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed FUT Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed Heroic | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 67c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Heroic | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…5a0fbacked Heroic | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked FUT Esports | 58c | 20.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.