CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42179a7e271ca1a4e640a776282ae15bf4a3187ad41092130ec30219a3164b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof WW Team, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,969 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Nemiga | 50c | 5,627$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.6 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 50c | 3,462$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WW Team | 49c | 1,279$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 53c | 1,012$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed WW Team | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed WW Team | 10c | 677.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 50c | 655.36$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed WW Team | 45c | 555.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed WW Team | 62c | 528$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Nemiga | 42c | 478.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Nemiga | 30c | 430.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked WW Team | 61c | 386.23$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Nemiga | 78c | 375$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Nemiga | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked WW Team | 72c | 285$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Nemiga | 27c | 250.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.65 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed WW Team | 72c | 215$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 47c | 154.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked WW Team | 52c | 127.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed WW Team | 47c | 126.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed WW Team | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nemiga | 61c | 99.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Nemiga | 41c | 97.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed WW Team | 50c | 94.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…abfebacked WW Team | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked WW Team | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed WW Team | 28c | 53.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nemiga | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Nemiga | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked WW Team | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Nemiga | 62c | 42.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked WW Team | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked WW Team | 51c | 34.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Nemiga | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked WW Team | 56c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…3799backed WW Team | 56c | 25.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked WW Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Nemiga | 51c | 19.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed WW Team | 70c | 15.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.