Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb847627c8268d370fe7e2ba329d726ad323d542bce8c5609cfb1b79d5b199605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $806,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,421 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 158,909$72,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,079.82 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 63c | 76,765$48,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 62,134$29,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,765.49 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 17,520$8,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,787.4 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Liquid | 52c | 16,876$8,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,775.52 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 13,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,239.97 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.72 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…a1fbbacked Team Liquid | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 9,690$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.01 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Liquid | 39c | 9,638$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.23 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 15c | 9,047$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.88 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 7,543$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.8 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 7,327$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 51c | 6,600$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 6,549$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.57 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 6,389$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.98 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Liquid | 2c | 5,334$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 5,032$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.53 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Liquid | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 4,860$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.19 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 52c | 4,660$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.4 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 4,439$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.12 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid | 35c | 4,424$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.37 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 4,036$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.67 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 4,000$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.02 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 3,336$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.17 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 47c | 3,000$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.01 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 10c | 2,396$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid | 11c | 2,312$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 2c | 2,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,920$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.92 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Team Liquid | 10c | 1,895$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,570$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.68 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,426$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,416$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.75 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,317$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,308$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.11 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,307$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.18 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,227$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.25 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,176$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.84 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed Team Liquid | 10c | 1,103$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,050$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,048$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,023$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.87 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.31 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 977.36$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.16 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 939.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.72 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…ef2bbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 927.39$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Liquid | 51c | 922.08$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 894.61$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 880.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 49c | 835.71$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.51 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 799.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 12c | 799.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 794.58$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.64 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Team Liquid | 13c | 779.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 31c | 705.53$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 47c | 691.69$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.72 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 676.37$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 646.35$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 626.58$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.01 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Liquid | 49c | 527.72$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.1 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Team Liquid | 3c | 519.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 511.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…4939backed Team Liquid | 3c | 510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 503.08$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed Team Liquid | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 460$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid | 5c | 456.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Liquid | 49c | 429.74$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 422.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 414.18$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 412.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 402.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Team Liquid | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 399.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 396$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…c040backed Team Liquid | 14c | 388.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 368.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Team Liquid | 32c | 365.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 349.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 340$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Liquid | 50c | 338.82$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed Team Liquid | 59c | 335$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 335$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Team Liquid | 16c | 334.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Liquid | 51c | 310.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 20c | 310$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 3: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.