Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39b4b6cfac06967d97b3465fb333a235bed44adc90f839e04dc34868d48d9e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,918 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 50,925$15,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,870.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 36,799$23,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,966.39 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 57c | 29,328$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,727.82 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 21,396$8,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,382.08 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 68c | 20,977$14,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.57 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 15,154$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 14,098$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.13 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 13,570$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.24 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Team Liquid | 71c | 13,050$9,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 10,480$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.46 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 10,387$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.94 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 8,578$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.79 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 7,505$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid | 52c | 7,496$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.7 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 7,150$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.64 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid | 61c | 6,999$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.57 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Team Liquid | 68c | 6,896$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.07 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 5,253$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.49 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 5,062$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.37 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 5,015$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 4,965$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 4,951$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.57 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 4,716$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.46 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 4,569$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.72 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid | 67c | 4,479$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.71 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 4,444$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 4,337$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.01 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…df64backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 4,190$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 4,015$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.79 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,768$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.6 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 3,657$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fc…0996backed Team Liquid | 67c | 3,349$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 3,218$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.58 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 3,077$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 3,000$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 2,986$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.99 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid | 63c | 2,983$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.98 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 2,944$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.03 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,731$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.22 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…684ebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 2,600$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf122…e0a5backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,583$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 2,315$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.85 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 2,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 2,247$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,229$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 68c | 2,179$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.76 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 62c | 2,152$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.33 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,087$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 2,077$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.43 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…b8a5backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,028$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a92…6643backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 2,002$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,953$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.75 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,790$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.78 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,790$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.13 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,766$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,723$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 1,711$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,689$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.77 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,659$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.38 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.6 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,637$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.41 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 1,600$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 1,569$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.83 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,514$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,503$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,472$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,446$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,442$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.97 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,440$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.66 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 11c | 1,358$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ff…7356backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,321$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,310$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.05 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,281$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,261$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,232$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.75 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,202$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,201$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.33 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,187$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 1,171$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,169$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…94b0backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,144$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.62 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…a76ebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 1,133$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,125$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.75 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 1,112$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,111$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.15 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,080$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.39 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,065$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.31 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,002$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 3: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.