Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac8edf03d9bd090c3be7731d2346959d368c1b0fbd0467529f9fa030a87b3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,863 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 151,936$72,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,583.76 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 60c | 73,632$44,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,132.19 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 42,379$22,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,918.07 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Liquid | 54c | 38,208$20,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,575.63 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 26,010$10,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 19,700$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,850 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 13,477$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.28 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 11,111$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.29 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 10,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 9,859$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.73 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 9,110$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.65 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 7,386$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.65 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 5,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 4,588$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.92 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,980$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.15 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,970$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.28 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 3,943$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.65 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 3,795$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.01 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 78c | 3,185$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.51 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,125$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.32 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 2,875$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.56 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 2,548$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 62c | 2,420$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.77 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 2,196$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.71 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 2,061$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.34 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,998$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.7 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,794$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 1,788$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.01 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 1,770$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,756$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.13 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 1,692$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.13 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,659$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.39 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,652$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.15 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,294$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Tundra Esports | 31c | 1,278$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.91 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 1,164$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,096$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.15 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,059$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,059$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.75 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,036$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.98 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.58 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…7650backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 53c | 999.54$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.78 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 967.8$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.61 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Liquid | 54c | 926.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.07 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Liquid | 58c | 918.79$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.79 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 899.98$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Liquid | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Liquid | 50c | 880$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Liquid | 52c | 874.03$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.53 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 870$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 858$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.26 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 10c | 826.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…051fbacked Tundra Esports | 2c | 779.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Liquid | 54c | 740.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.12 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 737.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.94 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 720.99$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 705.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 701$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…3500backed Team Liquid | 60c | 667.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 660$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 614.03$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Tundra Esports | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 589.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 54c | 584.03$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 550$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 78c | 546.15$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Liquid | 57c | 544.06$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…9fe2backed Team Liquid | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 500.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 490$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed Team Liquid | 59c | 490$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Team Liquid | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 480$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 460.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Tundra Esports | 10c | 450.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 444.65$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Liquid | 49c | 431.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 421.5$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…87c3backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 420.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 417.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 410$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Liquid | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game 3: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.