TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,231,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,231,239 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN35c301,842$106,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,410.2442440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4116…2d0bbacked paiN0c227,730$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.732623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed TheMongolz65c154,513$99,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,527.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked TheMongolz64c94,514$60,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,024.9739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed TheMongolz65c93,585$60,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,754.7522941.9%96 W · 133 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed paiN35c34,830$12,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,344.0925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked TheMongolz69c34,026$23,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,619.963265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed paiN36c27,339$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,750.0372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed paiN35c26,758$9,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,480.1622049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed paiN38c26,316$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed paiN37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.9416449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20a2…dc15backed paiN0c18,880$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.883043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed paiN36c18,538$6,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,673.761741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed TheMongolz64c17,500$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed TheMongolz65c16,346$10,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.492240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN35c15,472$5,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,372.841,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed paiN36c10,616$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.975550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed TheMongolz67c10,072$6,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.4419645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed paiN29c9,581$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.176656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed TheMongolz64c9,030$5,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.7712742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked paiN19c8,979$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz60c8,510$5,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,426.482,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN34c8,338$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.651,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN37c8,040$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked TheMongolz64c7,731$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.329347.1%138 W · 155 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed TheMongolz63c7,673$4,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.011070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz64c7,269$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.3824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz69c7,263$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.5522448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed paiN29c7,069$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.313537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz69c6,568$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.3325751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked paiN41c5,797$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.7532752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz63c5,500$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.9727133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed paiN35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7507940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz64c4,672$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.811,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz67c4,462$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.826,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed paiN36c4,386$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.0839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz74c4,385$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.341,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz49c3,806$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.453,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed TheMongolz64c3,800$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.29954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed TheMongolz62c3,712$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.573855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked TheMongolz63c3,616$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.9245357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz63c3,543$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.353,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed TheMongolz57c3,510$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.859850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz70c3,396$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.947,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed paiN36c3,374$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.7942341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked paiN28c3,331$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.862,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz62c3,156$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.1428453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed paiN34c3,142$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07797240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked paiN35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0508654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked paiN5c2,934$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.738844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz64c2,890$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.1757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed paiN29c2,758$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7966836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed paiN35c2,736$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.369153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed paiN42c2,657$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.621,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked paiN36c2,627$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.471,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz64c2,575$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.54,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed TheMongolz64c2,548$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.757955.7%44 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked paiN24c2,536$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.6315732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed TheMongolz62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.9972046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked paiN22c2,338$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.767142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed TheMongolz64c2,330$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.876546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed TheMongolz65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.691968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed paiN38c2,226$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.4743933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz65c2,075$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.6656732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed TheMongolz65c2,020$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71344848.4%217 W · 231 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed TheMongolz69c2,000$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae45…0c8dbacked TheMongolz64c1,966$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed paiN36c1,944$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN38c1,871$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.491,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz62c1,827$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.4447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked paiN34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…6b2abacked TheMongolz56c1,774$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN23c1,774$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6853737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed TheMongolz60c1,691$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.6458651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz64c1,683$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8653746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked TheMongolz66c1,565$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.541770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked TheMongolz64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.54957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1d…90f0backed TheMongolz65c1,534$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed paiN34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51016149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN24c1,483$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.945,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz66c1,477$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.181,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed TheMongolz66c1,450$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.26536.9%24 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed TheMongolz65c1,370$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.962634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked TheMongolz63c1,266$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4210138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed TheMongolz62c1,259$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.472955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked TheMongolz64c1,156$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.155855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed paiN35c1,150$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.512426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked TheMongolz66c1,120$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.7810445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz62c1,089$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9246565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed TheMongolz66c1,031$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.793246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed paiN26c1,017$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.556033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed paiN33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14098352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked TheMongolz62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3807832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed TheMongolz64c972.97$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6df…1cf4backed TheMongolz65c955.79$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.797041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked paiN36c943$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0527749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed TheMongolz59c924.15$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3962137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.