UFC · resolved market
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e0be0bf99b7314a5e53ae6ba7af4e1d2b80e5563a62524682dc735afd05bb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodolfo Bellatoof Rodolfo Bellato, Luke Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $835,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,144 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 112,428$35,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,450.95 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 100,356$68,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,197.27 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Luke Fernandez | 68c | 83,877$56,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,836.44 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 47,121$15,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,801.41 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Luke Fernandez | 66c | 33,170$21,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,942.33 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 31,791$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,617.88 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 26,700$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,660.92 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 25,514$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,838.98 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 15,080$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,288.18 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Luke Fernandez | 68c | 14,963$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,099.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 14,500$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rodolfo Bellato | 78c | 14,487$11,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.79 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Luke Fernandez | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.83 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 10,115$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,877.39 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 10,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,560.1 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Luke Fernandez | 4c | 9,615$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Luke Fernandez | 65c | 8,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.98 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Luke Fernandez | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Luke Fernandez | 66c | 7,420$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.9 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Luke Fernandez | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Luke Fernandez | 68c | 5,764$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.85 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Luke Fernandez | 2c | 5,378$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…cc36backed Luke Fernandez | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Luke Fernandez | 65c | 4,984$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.77 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Luke Fernandez | 1c | 4,966$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…f0c8backed Rodolfo Bellato | 35c | 4,455$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 4,440$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.17 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Luke Fernandez | 70c | 3,945$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.34 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 3,879$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 3,200$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 2,896$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.56 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Luke Fernandez | 2c | 2,853$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 2,517$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 2,440$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.39 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 2,297$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.18 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Luke Fernandez | 66c | 2,186$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 2,146$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.79 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 2,125$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.92 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Luke Fernandez | 5c | 2,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 2,084$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.49 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Luke Fernandez | 67c | 2,080$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.37 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 2,072$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…f594backed Rodolfo Bellato | 35c | 1,928$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Luke Fernandez | 66c | 1,820$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.19 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 1,744$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.57 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rodolfo Bellato | 66c | 1,721$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.35 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661b…17babacked Luke Fernandez | 68c | 1,606$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Luke Fernandez | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 1,490$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 1,437$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.74 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 1,260$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Luke Fernandez | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c988backed Rodolfo Bellato | 35c | 1,026$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 1,008$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Luke Fernandez | 65c | 1,002$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.3 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Luke Fernandez | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…a5cfbacked Luke Fernandez | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…4273backed Luke Fernandez | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Luke Fernandez | 2c | 975.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 29c | 876.54$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.78 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 835.35$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.68 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rodolfo Bellato | 24c | 800$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.14 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rodolfo Bellato | 17c | 758.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.57 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Luke Fernandez | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Luke Fernandez | 67c | 746.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 735$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 716.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.85 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rodolfo Bellato | 16c | 706$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.54 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Luke Fernandez | 66c | 700.24$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.06 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Luke Fernandez | 67c | 686.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Luke Fernandez | 67c | 669.54$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luke Fernandez | 66c | 663.86$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.35 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Luke Fernandez | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rodolfo Bellato | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Luke Fernandez | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Luke Fernandez | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Rodolfo Bellato | 32c | 597.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 578.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.94 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Luke Fernandez | 66c | 557.73$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Luke Fernandez | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rodolfo Bellato | 74c | 521.67$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 521.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.2 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rodolfo Bellato | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Luke Fernandez | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Luke Fernandez | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Luke Fernandez | 67c | 470.89$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rodolfo Bellato | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Rodolfo Bellato | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Luke Fernandez | 66c | 442.39$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 440.28$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Luke Fernandez | 68c | 423.53$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Rodolfo Bellato win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.