Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 4: Juarez vs. Anderson (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4dd456b38201765cb48f6d9bf6784954b9d0ea3ea0a7e079bf29f629e911171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juarezof Juarez, Anderson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0622…7b35backed Anderson | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…5b24backed Juarez | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…ea81backed Anderson | 41c | 428$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…6cf0backed Anderson | 41c | 419$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2297…8cdcbacked Anderson | 39c | 339$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…028cbacked Anderson | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f27…5a63backed Juarez | 61c | 311$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…5f5fbacked Anderson | 39c | 308$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…8ff2backed Juarez | 61c | 303$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b58…2c78backed Juarez | 59c | 296$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67a…e264backed Juarez | 60c | 293$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…23d4backed Juarez | 60c | 286$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf157…9468backed Juarez | 59c | 286$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…a0eebacked Anderson | 41c | 283$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…314ebacked Juarez | 60c | 283$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…9544backed Juarez | 60c | 255$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d08…3316backed Juarez | 61c | 252$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3631…0f3dbacked Juarez | 61c | 247$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…f5bbbacked Juarez | 59c | 242$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…4addbacked Juarez | 60c | 241$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…1171backed Anderson | 40c | 238$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…eb8bbacked Anderson | 39c | 231$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…4e0dbacked Anderson | 39c | 231$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…1313backed Anderson | 41c | 226$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1814…88ebbacked Anderson | 40c | 224$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…d906backed Anderson | 40c | 223$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…7f9abacked Juarez | 59c | 219$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…c6bbbacked Juarez | 60c | 215$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…2808backed Anderson | 40c | 213$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…cda5backed Anderson | 41c | 213$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…b9f8backed Juarez | 59c | 209$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Anderson | 20c | 207.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…4e59backed Anderson | 40c | 207$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59a…7715backed Anderson | 41c | 202$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a7backed Juarez | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…869cbacked Anderson | 39c | 199$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…6aa0backed Juarez | 61c | 195$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…abb8backed Juarez | 59c | 184$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Anderson | 35c | 183.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Juarez | 60c | 181.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…8128backed Juarez | 59c | 172$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…bf85backed Juarez | 59c | 172$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Anderson | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…87a9backed Anderson | 40c | 143$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…80e9backed Anderson | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccc…abb5backed Anderson | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Anderson | 40c | 85.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…abfebacked Anderson | 40c | 84.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Anderson | 38c | 82.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Juarez | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…bebabacked Anderson | 30c | 58.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Juarez | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aca…2fb8backed Anderson | 39c | 37.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Juarez | 59c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…9c95backed Juarez | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Juarez | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.