TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0622…7b35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Boxing at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$640
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$180
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$113.22
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$180
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$610
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+426.3%+$405
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$540
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$340
All 5 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$42.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$357.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.