TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Eternal Fire, Nuclear TigeRES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Eternal Fire8c10,522$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.766160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Eternal Fire26c10,233$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.834555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire14c4,179$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.152,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Eternal Fire23c2,508$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.886741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Nuclear TigeRES76c2,340$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.652075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Eternal Fire25c2,096$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.543834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nuclear TigeRES74c1,803$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.2129855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Eternal Fire24c1,470$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.61,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1190…2a70backed Nuclear TigeRES77c1,354$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x887a…c417backed Eternal Fire23c1,352$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Eternal Fire26c1,144$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Eternal Fire26c1,099$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.6546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…bcf1backed Eternal Fire11c1,073$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.46812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Eternal Fire26c999.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Eternal Fire24c787.21$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.065736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed Eternal Fire9c730.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Eternal Fire24c585.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4526549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x763d…d0f2backed Eternal Fire15c578.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Eternal Fire25c577.66$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0597230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nuclear TigeRES79c555.68$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.685250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Eternal Fire26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Nuclear TigeRES79c488.08$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.382650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+108.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8f…092ebacked Eternal Fire26c476.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Eternal Fire10c467.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3717644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Nuclear TigeRES75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ebd…a1e7backed Nuclear TigeRES72c335.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eternal Fire5c316.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.253,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a9…e762backed Eternal Fire26c299.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Eternal Fire25c296.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2321639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Eternal Fire25c287$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.756659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Nuclear TigeRES75c266.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.881668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire15c254.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.261,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Nuclear TigeRES78c253.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.822853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Eternal Fire13c229.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.496141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Eternal Fire24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Eternal Fire13c197.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Eternal Fire26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Eternal Fire23c186.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.826952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Nuclear TigeRES77c185.95$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.772560%15 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Nuclear TigeRES73c169.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.58366.3%55 W · 28 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2285…3184backed Eternal Fire26c159.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Eternal Fire27c154.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33ea…95e3backed Eternal Fire22c154.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Eternal Fire24c147$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Nuclear TigeRES75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Eternal Fire26c123.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.042755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x983e…56a0backed Nuclear TigeRES74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Eternal Fire25c118.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eternal Fire14c111.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4569863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa903…69d4backed Nuclear TigeRES76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…9eb8backed Nuclear TigeRES74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Eternal Fire25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Nuclear TigeRES75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78f…2931backed Eternal Fire24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1406…7683backed Eternal Fire24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Eternal Fire11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebe…4f7fbacked Eternal Fire25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Nuclear TigeRES77c87.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.125453.7%29 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Nuclear TigeRES76c86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fa…5f7bbacked Nuclear TigeRES74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fde…2441backed Eternal Fire25c77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0622…7b35backed Nuclear TigeRES75c77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe065…d1debacked Eternal Fire17c76.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eternal Fire26c72.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.471,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Eternal Fire29c69.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bf…bf2bbacked Nuclear TigeRES75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa13…6d97backed Nuclear TigeRES75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb006…2fcabacked Eternal Fire25c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4521…8102backed Nuclear TigeRES75c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Nuclear TigeRES76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7913646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nuclear TigeRES75c64.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.187534.7%26 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Nuclear TigeRES77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…842cbacked Nuclear TigeRES78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde22…292abacked Nuclear TigeRES79c61.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.051376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07e…b88ebacked Eternal Fire25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb1…982dbacked Nuclear TigeRES75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b09…382cbacked Eternal Fire26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Eternal Fire26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Nuclear TigeRES75c56.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.18463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed Eternal Fire28c54.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7182…8a4cbacked Nuclear TigeRES75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a0…8208backed Nuclear TigeRES75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5398…a8a9backed Eternal Fire25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e6…f84cbacked Eternal Fire25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Eternal Fire20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9571…1d98backed Eternal Fire20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-70.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xda60…9126backed Nuclear TigeRES75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148d…9001backed Nuclear TigeRES70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7995…2b6bbacked Eternal Fire30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2da…6a1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES77c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Nuclear TigeRES76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.056962.3%43 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Eternal Fire27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Nuclear TigeRES80c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Nuclear TigeRES75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Eternal Fire26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df6…1849backed Eternal Fire26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Nuclear TigeRES75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1058254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Nuclear TigeRES76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.476048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Nuclear TigeRES74c31.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed Nuclear TigeRES74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.86251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.