Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ba0e26d9233ed4c67789539ceca1647b6fcbef4629fe72d7dba3cd9cbc73e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salasof Salas, Saracho
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,883 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0622…7b35backed Saracho | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…5b24backed Salas | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Saracho | 32c | 477.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Salas | 60c | 387.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…bfbdbacked Salas | 68c | 282$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…49ccbacked Saracho | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737b…853abacked Saracho | 32c | 278$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…d802backed Saracho | 32c | 266$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…2200backed Saracho | 32c | 242$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…f266backed Salas | 68c | 240$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…1bdebacked Salas | 68c | 233$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…4978backed Salas | 68c | 224$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…8aa8backed Saracho | 32c | 224$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…0d14backed Salas | 68c | 223$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…bacbbacked Saracho | 32c | 217$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e6…942abacked Salas | 68c | 211$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6c…d1f3backed Salas | 68c | 209$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…ae4fbacked Saracho | 32c | 208$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…ec2fbacked Saracho | 32c | 207$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…7c9cbacked Salas | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb8…27b5backed Saracho | 32c | 204$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043a…d900backed Saracho | 32c | 202$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Saracho | 34c | 175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb738…da1cbacked Salas | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Salas | 66c | 169$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…55dbbacked Salas | 68c | 164$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Saracho | 38c | 157.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…3bdfbacked Salas | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…d3d8backed Salas | 68c | 152$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…4362backed Saracho | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Saracho | 33c | 126$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Salas | 66c | 103.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…c439backed Salas | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Salas | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Salas | 70c | 84.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Salas | 66c | 83.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Saracho | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Salas | 68c | 69.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Salas | 65c | 60.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Salas | 66c | 59.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…9edbbacked Salas | 72c | 57.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Salas | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…dcbfbacked Saracho | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Salas | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d37…5f24backed Salas | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0bcabacked Salas | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ad…d615backed Salas | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Salas | 69c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Salas | 53c | 43.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Salas | 68c | 42.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Salas | 68c | 42.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Salas | 68c | 42.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Saracho | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Salas | 67c | 38.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Salas | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +309.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Salas | 70c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…9ed1backed Salas | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Salas | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.