NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579e729ebde7b96046cdc84468a372ddcc52aad9e73be3ca48719e96ea151b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Penguins | 55c | 106,594$58,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,316.15 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 45c | 47,367$21,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,315.31 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 55c | 38,000$20,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,099.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Kraken | 45c | 32,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 41c | 22,206$9,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.54 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 46c | 20,476$9,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,320.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Penguins | 54c | 20,030$10,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,263.61 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 54c | 17,742$9,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,161.28 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d5f9backed Penguins | 53c | 13,578$7,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,381.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Kraken | 34c | 12,805$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.62 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 74c | 10,350$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 76c | 10,230$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.42 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Penguins | 72c | 10,129$7,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kraken | 0c | 10,116$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Kraken | 26c | 8,908$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kraken | 47c | 8,581$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.92 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 45c | 8,313$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.83 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Kraken | 45c | 7,927$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Kraken | 45c | 7,782$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 44c | 7,602$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.05 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Penguins | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Penguins | 55c | 6,767$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Penguins | 76c | 6,535$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Penguins | 74c | 6,393$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.35 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Kraken | 45c | 6,083$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.74 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Kraken | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Kraken | 35c | 4,795$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Kraken | 45c | 4,605$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.2 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 38c | 4,439$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.14 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 70c | 4,395$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.92 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Kraken | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken | 47c | 4,159$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 73c | 4,050$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.08 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kraken | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Kraken | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Kraken | 45c | 3,894$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.09 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 9c | 3,867$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.82 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Penguins | 55c | 3,704$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.65 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Kraken | 46c | 3,666$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.32 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Penguins | 55c | 3,640$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Kraken | 45c | 3,490$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Kraken | 45c | 3,203$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.13 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kraken | 2c | 3,163$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kraken | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 55c | 2,716$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.7 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 74c | 2,714$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.42 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Kraken | 34c | 2,495$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Penguins | 54c | 2,477$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.4 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Kraken | 46c | 2,416$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penguins | 66c | 2,407$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.55 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Kraken | 46c | 2,397$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.54 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Kraken | 28c | 2,378$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kraken | 46c | 2,374$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.04 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 62c | 2,370$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.69 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 74c | 2,269$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.21 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kraken | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kraken | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 27c | 2,105$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 46c | 2,055$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.39 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Kraken | 30c | 2,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…87f1backed Penguins | 54c | 1,985$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…6462backed Kraken | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,921$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.87 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 45c | 1,831$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Kraken | 45c | 1,829$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df5…0215backed Kraken | 47c | 1,812$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kraken | 31c | 1,746$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.94 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Penguins | 65c | 1,709$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.25 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 46c | 1,664$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.6 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kraken | 21c | 1,657$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kraken | 23c | 1,652$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.35 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.01 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 46c | 1,464$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.43 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penguins | 53c | 1,457$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.79 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kraken | 17c | 1,413$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.29 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Kraken | 11c | 1,410$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 21c | 1,352$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 55c | 1,332$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.38 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 17c | 1,207$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.23 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 44c | 1,200$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 73c | 1,132$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Kraken | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Kraken | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kraken | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Kraken | 16c | 1,100$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kraken | 28c | 1,095$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…5a51backed Penguins | 54c | 1,013$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Kraken | 20c | 1,001$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.87 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Kraken | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Kraken | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fde…2441backed Penguins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Krakenthis page
- Penguins vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.