Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93fc0632277c94492f2cc137226202dd8a85747c688ab57f6461d60f6a2cdb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 6,409$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.07 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG | 68c | 3,785$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.18 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 67c | 3,509$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.71 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 65c | 3,226$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.16 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 65c | 2,830$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.96 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 2,650$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.21 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…5bbcbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 2,238$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 66c | 1,929$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.3 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 1,145$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.89 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 1,121$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 918.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 62c | 854.05$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.62 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 828.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed NRG | 61c | 726.55$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 611.18$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 69c | 597.86$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NRG | 65c | 513.85$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 488$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 475.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG | 79c | 459.38$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 359.59$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG | 72c | 293$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 227.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NRG | 73c | 206.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed NRG | 68c | 174.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 165.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 152.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 146.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NRG | 75c | 130.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 122.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 104.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed NRG | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 69c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 83.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed NRG | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 71.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NRG | 71c | 69.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG | 70c | 69.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NRG | 77c | 66.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 60.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 59.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed NRG | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 44.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…abfebacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked NRG | 63c | 40.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked NRG | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked NRG | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed NRG | 75c | 27.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked NRG | 62c | 19.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked NRG | 64c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 206 | 39.8%82 W · 124 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed NRG | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.