Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81f18d5ac7ce0c63f423263e56ae5ae0fd37882f7d789f37c039cfb78cca3164

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,490 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves	41c	13,748$5,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,701.63	260	50%130 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG	68c	13,549$9,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,291.01	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves	38c	8,425$3,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,231.93	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG	59c	2,533$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.93	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked NRG	38c	2,076$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,288.66	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG	49c	2,031$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.06	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves	54c	1,403$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.96	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked NRG	58c	1,392$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.16	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed 100 Thieves	64c	1,074$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.9	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves	49c	1,005$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.42	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG	58c	980.47$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.19	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed NRG	56c	929.5$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.29	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves	40c	923.02$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.96	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG	34c	920.81$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.84	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed NRG	54c	899.71$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.88	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG	61c	801.35$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.53	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed 100 Thieves	35c	776$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.6	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed NRG	53c	674.83$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.44	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed 100 Thieves	71c	589.51$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.78	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed NRG	28c	521.34$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.37	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves	42c	514.53$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.94	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed 100 Thieves	41c	506$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.88	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked NRG	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	311	53.1%165 W · 146 L	+15.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked NRG	58c	499.99$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.99	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed 100 Thieves	43c	399.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-10.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG	37c	393.36$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.28	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves	43c	372.93$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.79	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG	69c	357.27$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.44	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed NRG	56c	347.28$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.09	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed NRG	58c	336.06$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.75	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed NRG	30c	333.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.33	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG	60c	301.77$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.95	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked 100 Thieves	26c	299.98$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.11	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed 100 Thieves	44c	299.43$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.75	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG	57c	296.9$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.75	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed NRG	63c	290.58$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.93	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed 100 Thieves	42c	257.85$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.3	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	62cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked 100 Thieves	57c	250$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	180	49.4%89 W · 91 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed NRG	34c	250$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.91	224	55.4%124 W · 100 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed 100 Thieves	55c	246.5$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.19	391	66%258 W · 133 L	+24.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked NRG	61c	245.9$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.9	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed 100 Thieves	36c	242.86$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.08	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG	48c	237.67$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.67	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed 100 Thieves	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed NRG	69c	217.39$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NRG	38c	206$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.62	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed NRG	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked NRG	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed NRG	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed NRG	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NRG	52c	187.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.61	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed NRG	74c	176.79$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.79	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed 100 Thieves	43c	175$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.25	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked NRG	68c	162.15$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.9	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed 100 Thieves	34c	153.58$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.24	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed NRG	57c	138.88$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.72	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed NRG	75c	136.75$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed NRG	62c	129.03$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.03	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd8…1faabacked 100 Thieves	44c	127.24$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed 100 Thieves	43c	117$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-8.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed 100 Thieves	44c	109.64$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NRG	32c	106.11$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed NRG	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	122	43.4%53 W · 69 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed 100 Thieves	52c	73.26$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.46	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed NRG	45c	67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.85	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed NRG	45c	67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.85	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7f…e1edbacked NRG	58c	65.66$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.66	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves	44c	60.39$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed NRG	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	126	33.3%42 W · 84 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5068…024bbacked 100 Thieves	35c	54.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed NRG	59c	53.74$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked 100 Thieves	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed 100 Thieves	41c	49.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked 100 Thieves	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	184	57.1%105 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa757…1a05backed 100 Thieves	33c	40.15$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked NRG	43c	38.75$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.14	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe79…296fbacked NRG	34c	38.24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.24	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed 100 Thieves	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed 100 Thieves	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed NRG	60c	26.67$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.67	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)NRG won
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsNRG won
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerNRG won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event