TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe79…296f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT4858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
LoL: University of Mississippi vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.34
LoL: University of Mississippi vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: University of Mississippi vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked University of Mississippi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$60.86
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$34.66
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$70.14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.43
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$261.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.91
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.82
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$45.74
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.23
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.21
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.18
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53%+$49.96
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$146.88
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$83.36
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.54
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.93
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.86
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$52.34
Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.09
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$25.24
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.6
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$31.23
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$17.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$6.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.