TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Solary, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Solary67c20,508$13,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,757.6591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Solary66c16,916$11,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,080.6327637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Galions32c10,230$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,956.51,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Galions76c6,183$4,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.4389347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Solary18c5,568$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.111,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Galions32c3,926$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.752,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Galions59c3,575$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.891,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Galions34c3,097$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.067733.8%26 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Galions42c2,965$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.7696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Solary32c2,809$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.8820348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Galions34c2,768$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.8190537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Galions64c2,403$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.81,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Solary58c2,026$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.81,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Solary1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Solary57c1,996$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.6638235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Galions35c1,698$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.310239.2%40 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Galions34c1,384$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.4413632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Galions58c1,383$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.091,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Solary59c1,356$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.42,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Galions35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7804431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Solary16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928840.9%36 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Galions34c1,200$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.191,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked Galions34c1,137$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.421040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Solary40c1,119$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.042,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Galions38c1,011$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.939533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Galions35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65017347.4%82 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Solary60c1,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59540145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Galions34c999.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.481,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Galions34c976.1$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.2367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Galions36c836.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.0776955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Galions34c815$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.94560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Galions34c809.23$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.811,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Galions53c767.4$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.281,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Solary28c758.47$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.661,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Solary70c717.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Solary46c699.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Galions33c675$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.2547838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Galions33c661.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.897648.7%37 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Galions69c658.89$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.331,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Solary68c647$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.4770162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Galions33c610.84$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Galions40c609.22$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.412,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Solary5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Solary36c577$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.482,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Solary67c537$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.356460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Galions56c531.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4668942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x419c…d189backed Galions43c513.16$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Solary67c497.01$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33317647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Galions62c477.04$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.551,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Solary40c472.74$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9540364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Galions34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.181,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions41c430.42$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.951,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Solary5c385$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.971,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Galions43c335.71$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3524650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Solary31c318.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5278043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Solary27c306.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7840231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Solary44c305.91$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1825151%128 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Galions32c293$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.241,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Solary10c291.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.145246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Solary7c281.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7118116%29 W · 152 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Galions44c274$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5635341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Galions67c272.72$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9086943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Galions63c266.14$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.732,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Galions34c249.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9928240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Galions43c225$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.251,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Solary37c222$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.439552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Galions68c210.44$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.741,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Galions48c203$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.913,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Solary34c193.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.191,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked Galions77c188.62$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4510251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Galions75c170.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5750745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d94…eb52backed Solary55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.532345.5%147 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dae…0336backed Solary63c169$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.414149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Solary19c164.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.915145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Solary16c163.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.784445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Galions75c160.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0941468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Galions32c160$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.89742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Galions33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.528734.1%98 W · 189 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Galions79c147.09$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8913454.5%73 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Solary40c143$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.282836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Galions54c142.34$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.42,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Solary51c137.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Solary10c137.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6313014.6%19 W · 111 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed Galions70c133.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.757755.8%43 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Galions49c127.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0113342.9%57 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Galions65c126.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5766458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.251,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Solary66c117$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2244751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Galions34c114$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2444743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Solary36c112.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3818043.3%78 W · 102 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed Galions33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.769442.1%292 W · 402 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Solary65c110$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.539956.6%226 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Galions42c105$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd939…9045backed Galions34c102.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.445438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Solary16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Galions44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5616549.7%82 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Solary57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5762649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Solary23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Galions33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6722455.4%124 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…6ad4backed Galions39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6118231.3%57 W · 125 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.