Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x295cc91b882cdae07070f8f8117084134dfa5b26a204f86d9b3da68b87401641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Galions | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.98 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Galions | 53c | 5,539$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.08 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Solary | 44c | 5,128$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.68 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Solary | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Solary | 43c | 4,081$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.96 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Galions | 57c | 3,888$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.15 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Solary | 49c | 2,817$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.63 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Galions | 55c | 2,439$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.27 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Galions | 57c | 2,099$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.42 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Solary | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Solary | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Solary | 42c | 1,003$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.51 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 52c | 627.92$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Solary | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Galions | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Solary | 44c | 248.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Solary | 44c | 240$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Solary | 46c | 229.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Solary | 44c | 213$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Galions | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Galions | 56c | 184.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Solary | 44c | 176.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Solary | 50c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Solary | 55c | 149.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Solary | 44c | 137$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Solary | 44c | 112.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Solary | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galions | 28c | 41.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Galions | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Solary | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…9f2cbacked Solary | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Galions | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Galions | 52c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Solary | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Galions | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.