TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Solaryof Solary, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Solary60c20,000$11,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,008.7591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Galions40c18,183$7,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,362.7827637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Galions18c7,141$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.491,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Galions40c4,509$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.4553355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Galions40c3,630$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.66460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Galions40c2,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Galions39c2,183$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.6487844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Solary59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Galions1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Solary55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9815860.8%96 W · 62 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Solary60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Solary68c1,520$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7686943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Galions1c1,513$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1322867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Solary42c1,332$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.21,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Solary57c1,326$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.151,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Galions9c1,300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.992,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…efb6backed Galions28c1,122$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.55825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Galions42c1,043$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Solary57c1,038$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2464247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Galions10c1,022$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4554824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Solary60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Solary55c999.78$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.362,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Solary79c835.53$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.211,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Galions42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3367648.7%37 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked Galions40c761.84$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1110251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed Galions44c750.65$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4818036.1%65 W · 115 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Solary72c731.39$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.331,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Galions37c726.94$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9732939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Solary59c666.25$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8586251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Solary64c660.82$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.021,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Solary46c650.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8938439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed Solary37c620$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4636749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Galions40c619.57$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Galions39c599.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9917438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Galions30c593.44$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.481,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…7752backed Galions43c590.57$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.163737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Solary55c589.41$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2328553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Galions41c583.4$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5717647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Galions40c579.92$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.976230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Galions44c557.18$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.245246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Solary59c549.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4940364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Galions31c501.07$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.294553.3%24 W · 21 L+11.4wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+89.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Galions25c500.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.411,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Solary20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003959%23 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Solary57c500$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2131,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked Galions44c499$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.772254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Solary59c471.86$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4666947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Solary20c451.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0563448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Solary60c443.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.591,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dae…0336backed Solary58c434.87$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5214149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Galions41c407.42$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4519948.2%96 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Galions40c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.131,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Solary63c390.12$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.991,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Galions8c376.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4124835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Solary60c356.67$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6739266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf63e…f525backed Galions3c347.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Solary62c344.6$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0385652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Solary60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Solary55c319.78$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7876955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Solary70c313.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.572,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Solary49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15431646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Solary60c300$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Solary60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Galions14c285.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1857222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Solary59c278.93$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.562,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Galions44c277.28$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1375342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Solary70c275.07$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.061,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Solary58c267.43$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0412040%48 W · 72 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Solary51c266.49$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0563352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Solary62c263.3$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.366058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Solary60c259.85$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8666458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Solary59c258.19$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1929240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Galions41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.56443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Solary51c242.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2523832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Solary60c240.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0146650.9%237 W · 229 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Solary57c239.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.295048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Solary78c230.61$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4641468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Galions22c225.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9469841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Galions8c219.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Galions46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006456.3%36 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Galions24c212.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Solary60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3347453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Solary40c201$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3760738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Solary61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7823943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed Solary61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Solary61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7829942.8%128 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Solary71c193.01$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.069552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Solary55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Solary58c179.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.625151%128 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…eb52backed Solary49c179.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6232345.5%147 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Solary62c170.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.976547.7%31 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked Solary59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4915541.3%64 W · 91 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Galions21c166.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7813014.6%19 W · 111 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c92…04f7backed Galions41c166.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.752661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2588…708ebacked Galions12c164.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.232030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Solary62c155.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4627244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf72…f8bcbacked Solary33c152.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5314157.4%81 W · 60 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84e6…4263backed Galions47c152.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.581747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed Solary59c149.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4938342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.