Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf250e84c825a6c6ef8f1b7be966b022d30e9510f6bfdeee95dc45478b74e2d63

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, BBL Esports
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $53,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim RedForce	59c	5,744$3,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350.29	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked BBL Esports	50c	5,671$2,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,843.8	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce	55c	3,386$1,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,523.56	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BBL Esports	39c	3,117$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.68	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BBL Esports	32c	1,477$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.68	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce	52c	1,058$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.93	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim RedForce	66c	983.57$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.21	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BBL Esports	50c	855.51$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.18	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Nongshim RedForce	30c	706.73$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.23	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed BBL Esports	70c	674$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.89	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked BBL Esports	4c	669.14$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…21c5backed BBL Esports	43c	500$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed BBL Esports	26c	372.19$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce	62c	355.38$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.19	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Nongshim RedForce	37c	322.64$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.26	255	55.7%142 W · 113 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce	58c	303.39$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.82	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BBL Esports	54c	289$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.25	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce	49c	282$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.49	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed BBL Esports	27c	220.83$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.28	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Nongshim RedForce	39c	219.64$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.98	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nongshim RedForce	41c	216.49$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.07	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BBL Esports	46c	211.3$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.47	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce	65c	209$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.26	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nongshim RedForce	79c	209$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.69	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Nongshim RedForce	49c	206.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.21	153	58.8%90 W · 63 L	+14.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe79…296fbacked BBL Esports	66c	179.04$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.54	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed BBL Esports	28c	176.43$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	186	47.8%89 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nongshim RedForce	58c	171$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.84	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce	53c	143.72$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.54	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed BBL Esports	46c	130.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	361	45.7%165 W · 196 L	+22.8wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nongshim RedForce	49c	127.24$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.24	349	54.7%191 W · 158 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Nongshim RedForce	56c	116$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.88	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked BBL Esports	35c	114.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nongshim RedForce	38c	114$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.32	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa5…9de3backed Nongshim RedForce	62c	108.01$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1ecbbacked Nongshim RedForce	57c	102.19$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.94	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce	65c	102$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.83	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Nongshim RedForce	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.13	147	37.4%55 W · 92 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked BBL Esports	63c	95.4$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.1	77	68.8%53 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nongshim RedForce	80c	93$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Nongshim RedForce	39c	90.61$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.61	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Nongshim RedForce	45c	90.38$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.99	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Nongshim RedForce	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Nongshim RedForce	67c	85$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce	54c	84.13$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce	50c	67$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.45	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nongshim RedForce	56c	57.71$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.66	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nongshim RedForce	49c	55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.8	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed BBL Esports	40c	55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.85	182	54.4%99 W · 83 L	+22.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Nongshim RedForce	59c	50.87$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.86	181	48.6%88 W · 93 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked BBL Esports	37c	50.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	312	27.6%86 W · 226 L	-33.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16b1…1ac5backed Nongshim RedForce	72c	48.76$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Nongshim RedForce	52c	47.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.64	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…b1d4backed Nongshim RedForce	78c	47.57$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	61cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Nongshim RedForce	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	264	47.3%125 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked BBL Esports	63c	42.86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a9…c69ebacked BBL Esports	33c	41.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c45…7069backed Nongshim RedForce	78c	38.29$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.29	69	69.6%48 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed BBL Esports	55c	36.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BBL Esports	53c	35.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BBL Esports	64c	33.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked BBL Esports	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x542c…ed1cbacked BBL Esports	63c	31.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Nongshim RedForce	42c	31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.08	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Nongshim RedForce	44c	30.84$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.31	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Nongshim RedForce	50c	30.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed BBL Esports	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…e4d4backed Nongshim RedForce	77c	28.34$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-42%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed BBL Esports	45c	24.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nongshim RedForce	49c	23.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Nongshim RedForce	57c	17.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.64	321	57.6%185 W · 136 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event