TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, BBL Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed BBL Esports37c27,000$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,989.9824145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked BBL Esports46c18,835$8,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,680.881030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Nongshim RedForce53c16,195$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,594.3317948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Nongshim RedForce54c13,142$7,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,101.0710455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim RedForce77c9,285$7,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.1940945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked Nongshim RedForce63c6,767$4,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.792755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed BBL Esports47c5,380$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.7910842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce70c5,314$3,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.7556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Nongshim RedForce64c3,220$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.2153159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nongshim RedForce63c3,133$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.4565559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim RedForce63c2,912$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.1168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nongshim RedForce71c2,583$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.456551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5615…3199backed Nongshim RedForce54c2,052$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked BBL Esports48c2,020$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.536931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed BBL Esports25c1,729$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.1160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Nongshim RedForce63c1,722$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9726650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BBL Esports47c1,570$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.893857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked BBL Esports8c1,566$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252850%14 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+135.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked BBL Esports47c1,563$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.618144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed BBL Esports48c1,531$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.821936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Nongshim RedForce63c1,528$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed BBL Esports24c1,514$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9740944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Nongshim RedForce54c1,474$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.515451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked BBL Esports47c1,454$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.8421055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nongshim RedForce63c1,415$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.994361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports17c1,234$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed BBL Esports40c1,167$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.746755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Nongshim RedForce54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked BBL Esports48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Nongshim RedForce53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed BBL Esports2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-92.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Nongshim RedForce75c979.95$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7215358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdaa…ed87backed BBL Esports31c971.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed BBL Esports46c870.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.444843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked BBL Esports13c813.01$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9910628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nongshim RedForce72c805.9$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5478562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed BBL Esports20c739.84$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.013836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked BBL Esports40c725.28$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2895048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BBL Esports27c651.58$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8468949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BBL Esports29c636.04$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.271,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed BBL Esports47c635.23$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.563450%17 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce75c613.7$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed BBL Esports2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…21c5backed BBL Esports48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nongshim RedForce54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports19c473.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.731,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed BBL Esports12c446.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.316630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed BBL Esports47c445$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked BBL Esports26c439.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3131227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Nongshim RedForce66c425.91$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9113743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed BBL Esports35c419$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7323836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked BBL Esports20c411.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9440731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked BBL Esports19c409.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.391631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44b…4048backed BBL Esports6c408.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.163056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe611…2970backed BBL Esports47c403.19$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed BBL Esports17c386$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x169a…f719backed Nongshim RedForce76c380$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Nongshim RedForce54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.377252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BBL Esports22c342.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9570043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BBL Esports26c304$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.541,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Nongshim RedForce63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BBL Esports22c277.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.541,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce53c258.65$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2963955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked BBL Esports39c256.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Nongshim RedForce53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.525555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked BBL Esports20c231.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2421153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BBL Esports24c230$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4190733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed BBL Esports6c229$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.158625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a28…929fbacked BBL Esports47c225.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked BBL Esports11c199.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Nongshim RedForce78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed BBL Esports45c191.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.353737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb84…21a7backed Nongshim RedForce53c191.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed BBL Esports17c185.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.497534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Nongshim RedForce54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed BBL Esports17c182.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2933838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x738b…7579backed Nongshim RedForce63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce76c155$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8281134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Nongshim RedForce63c153.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9715255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed BBL Esports47c152$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.441752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed BBL Esports24c137.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BBL Esports21c135.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.911,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked BBL Esports20c134.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed BBL Esports15c134.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1510217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed BBL Esports19c133.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.739838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa39c…6e80backed BBL Esports8c130$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked BBL Esports19c126$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6523644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BBL Esports18c126$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2557151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Nongshim RedForce64c121$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0916963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked BBL Esports48c119.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.612056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Nongshim RedForce54c112.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9636145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BBL Esports29c106.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6996245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked BBL Esports19c106$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.542140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed BBL Esports36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed BBL Esports46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4637545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Nongshim RedForce53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478444%37 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Nongshim RedForce54c99.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.632748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed BBL Esports48c95.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.957050%35 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed BBL Esports48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked Nongshim RedForce56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.297661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.