Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb8b5de839ea662752d0a7d2c0bf192817a2678ba9f17540d64262ff972278a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 49c | 2,331$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.11 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 49c | 889$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.61 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 50c | 423.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 75c | 231.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 75c | 228.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 202.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Over | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 50c | 117.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 51c | 97.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 97.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 50c | 52.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 72c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…71c8backed Over | 50c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Under | 51c | 26.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.