TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed FURIA Esports25c57,313$14,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,473.3724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed NRG64c36,607$23,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,081.9254751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports5c33,432$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.340945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA Esports37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.914542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed NRG73c21,999$15,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.556643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked NRG63c11,646$7,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,309.026747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked FURIA Esports4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed FURIA Esports20c8,792$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7763551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed NRG63c7,905$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.4211747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked FURIA Esports37c6,835$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.076150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed FURIA Esports38c5,548$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.592055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed NRG63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8503956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports10c3,662$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.661,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked NRG64c2,139$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.173658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked NRG65c2,118$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.965062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed NRG63c1,580$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.632047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae4f…0967backed FURIA Esports5c1,532$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3068458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA Esports26c1,500$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked FURIA Esports12c1,330$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed NRG63c1,290$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.34759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports2c1,028$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports2c1,027$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2869722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FURIA Esports36c1,011$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed FURIA Esports9c994.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.846734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA Esports33c971.31$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed NRG66c896.07$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed NRG63c787$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.196570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked FURIA Esports17c750$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6327850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed NRG65c713.34$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked FURIA Esports37c711.73$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.344161%25 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84df…08b7backed FURIA Esports37c677.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb7…1dd0backed FURIA Esports37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports33c599.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed NRG67c597$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0126447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NRG63c510$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.721457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed FURIA Esports34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17014941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports8c473.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.611,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca78…b3a8backed NRG75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+58.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG63c393.57$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.211,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports24c376.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.471,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FURIA Esports16c330$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed FURIA Esports20c324.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.523836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed NRG64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…9edfbacked NRG63c312$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports36c302.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed NRG71c292.39$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.443348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked NRG63c286$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.821560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed NRG63c275.87$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.072378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG77c239$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3356357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked NRG63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.16666.7%44 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed FURIA Esports32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b44…fcfcbacked FURIA Esports38c211.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.45714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked FURIA Esports6c203.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed NRG64c190.63$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.637646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked NRG67c173.13$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.132450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed NRG68c172.23$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1163447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked NRG67c166$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7824551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed FURIA Esports35c161.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.68646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed NRG63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed FURIA Esports30c159.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7510548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked NRG63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.512650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21fc…de4abacked FURIA Esports34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG67c135.85$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc41b…87c5backed FURIA Esports37c135.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed FURIA Esports31c129.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FURIA Esports11c128.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked FURIA Esports15c125.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3121153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed NRG63c124.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed FURIA Esports24c120.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed NRG66c118.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.851275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG75c108.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9933346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed FURIA Esports11c107.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-73.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed NRG65c107.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.256149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed FURIA Esports38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed FURIA Esports22c99.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FURIA Esports29c94.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4433942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FURIA Esports13c93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5355637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f86…e074backed FURIA Esports29c92.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed NRG68c90.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.344055%22 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed NRG63c79.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.322860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed NRG63c76.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked NRG65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2544342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG79c66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe79…296fbacked FURIA Esports38c59.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked FURIA Esports36c53.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.394146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked NRG71c51.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9120051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed FURIA Esports36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FURIA Esports35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed FURIA Esports37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50c…d404backed NRG66c46.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3975…af20backed NRG65c45.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed NRG68c45.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.531369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed FURIA Esports32c40.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed NRG63c40.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298f…b4e1backed NRG63c39.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed NRG71c32.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.393658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed NRG65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.