Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688c93239c5d07008e648ed814dd73797d8000887e077bd9792343cbfcd1d52e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked NRG | 49c | 22,511$11,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,505.69 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 16,437$8,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,383 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 4,429$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.29 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NRG | 50c | 3,369$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.42 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 2,445$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.39 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 1,449$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.46 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NRG | 48c | 1,374$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.73 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 1,176$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…6a1abacked NRG | 48c | 1,120$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 1,074$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 961$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed NRG | 47c | 706.38$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed NRG | 49c | 556.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed NRG | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 471.94$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NRG | 49c | 340.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 232.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed NRG | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked NRG | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked NRG | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed NRG | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 96.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 69.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 69.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 61.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed NRG | 48c | 57.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 56.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e3…6dbdbacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…3e4cbacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked NRG | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed NRG | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed NRG | 46c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 34.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed NRG | 50c | 33.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed NRG | 50c | 31.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed NRG | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 27.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked NRG | 50c | 24.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports | 58c | 23.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed NRG | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed NRG | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…57aabacked NRG | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaNRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.