TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3555…208ebacked FURIA Esports0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306666.7%44 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed FURIA Esports47c23,241$10,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,914.4324145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed NRG52c8,502$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.216643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked NRG51c5,538$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.253658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked NRG65c4,928$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.84542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports40c4,919$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.6853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports42c4,856$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.8465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports39c4,812$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.8368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NRG61c3,871$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.6440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG57c3,739$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.368949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG64c2,662$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.9456551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG57c2,282$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.9294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked NRG39c1,912$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.047550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed NRG68c1,360$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.25955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed NRG69c1,260$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.632047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG61c1,132$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed FURIA Esports49c1,039$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked NRG55c886.36$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3614653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG65c808.49$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2841,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked NRG56c766$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3814552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed FURIA Esports42c755.87$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4754751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FURIA Esports53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.522449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed NRG61c750$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.518049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked NRG71c743$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7228143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG63c695$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4478562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed NRG52c679.5$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.611546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed FURIA Esports28c615.88$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5223836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed NRG65c601.09$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports32c584.08$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18653355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FURIA Esports29c554.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9433942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports42c550.48$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.111,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NRG78c516$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7350944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG69c501.13$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed NRG60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed FURIA Esports30c500$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports31c494$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.881,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NRG53c465.68$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7293049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked FURIA Esports34c459.06$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.083348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca78…b3a8backed NRG65c451.44$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.441172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+58.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FURIA Esports29c427.04$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8414938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb7…1dd0backed NRG60c417.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FURIA Esports28c392.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9326447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed FURIA Esports43c358.05$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9611747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae4f…0967backed FURIA Esports22c340.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked FURIA Esports31c328.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7917642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked FURIA Esports56c323.48$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.722748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FURIA Esports35c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.641,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG50c297.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0157151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed FURIA Esports58c259.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed NRG52c258.03$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.977247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports27c252$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.611,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed NRG60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed FURIA Esports31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NRG60c200.02$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5838950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed FURIA Esports60c195.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11719656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b7…a214backed NRG72c179.35$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.221580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FURIA Esports26c177.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6790733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA Esports55c176$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed NRG73c164.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.452378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed NRG69c163.54$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.763447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed NRG57c162.95$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.08742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed FURIA Esports44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.818254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed FURIA Esports14c147.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed FURIA Esports33c146.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5819240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed NRG65c145.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG52c141.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6870043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed NRG64c139.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.727044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked FURIA Esports35c138.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG51c134.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked NRG65c128.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8526450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed1c…494dbacked FURIA Esports34c117.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403f…105abacked FURIA Esports25c116.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked FURIA Esports44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FURIA Esports31c108$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2499846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed FURIA Esports43c100.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3928241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21fc…de4abacked NRG49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc41b…87c5backed FURIA Esports41c96.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7369722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3a12…a9a7backed NRG55c90.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG78c83.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5733346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed FURIA Esports31c83.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4966438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked FURIA Esports16c79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7820138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6c…b1d2backed FURIA Esports39c72.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.212119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-62.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed NRG54c71.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87dd…a331backed NRG46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG53c69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5377744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed FURIA Esports31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked FURIA Esports48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked NRG69c62.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.366959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed FURIA Esports53c62.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG49c57.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0781134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG69c53.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked NRG71c51.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7220051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed NRG69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8163955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dcb…50fcbacked NRG57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed NRG61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1810151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240e…eb16backed FURIA Esports31c48.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed FURIA Esports29c45.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.230544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed FURIA Esports30c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56930.4%21 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked FURIA Esports43c44.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.335062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.