TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed NRG76c18,913$14,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.7240945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed NRG77c18,574$14,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.9510455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FURIA Esports23c11,111$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.5333942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports21c9,536$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA Esports13c9,276$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.676038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4fe…c916backed FURIA Esports29c9,015$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA Esports14c6,809$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.8246326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked FURIA Esports0c6,737$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.987443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FURIA Esports12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60041734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG77c4,863$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.5833153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf892…8acbbacked FURIA Esports31c3,586$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked FURIA Esports23c3,556$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.886150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG71c3,455$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.1368949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed NRG79c3,107$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.414856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed FURIA Esports21c2,261$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4643551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports17c2,041$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.761,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed FURIA Esports24c1,967$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.993537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked FURIA Esports28c1,769$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.469737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae4f…0967backed FURIA Esports4c1,287$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG74c1,211$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4153355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports25c1,161$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked FURIA Esports19c1,055$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6921136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports29c1,048$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed FURIA Esports24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24032245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22065559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports24c961.45$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.11,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed FURIA Esports9c913.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5219656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed NRG75c847.21$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG76c675.48$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2856357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked FURIA Esports24c650.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4912550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed FURIA Esports28c648.43$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.657920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed FURIA Esports19c632.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9226932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NRG76c610$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.421457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed NRG66c600.47$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7222344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NRG71c600$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5960154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed NRG74c599.69$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0132152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed FURIA Esports24c575$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed FURIA Esports13c569.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1315358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed NRG78c566.52$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.449255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG65c556.03$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FURIA Esports28c522$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3228143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports7c507.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6369722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed FURIA Esports23c500.1$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0225453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked FURIA Esports25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e3…6dbdbacked FURIA Esports20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FURIA Esports10c478.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4846347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed NRG74c473.41$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed FURIA Esports24c464.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0913661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed FURIA Esports24c429.07$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9863447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…1377backed FURIA Esports23c421.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed FURIA Esports3c410$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked NRG74c395.95$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9517642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked NRG73c375$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.257550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked FURIA Esports27c365.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2616420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA Esports28c350.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…db7abacked FURIA Esports14c348.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb36…0d51backed FURIA Esports9c342$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.022142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed FURIA Esports36c332.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204949%24 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed FURIA Esports23c319.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.636145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA Esports6c313.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5244342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed NRG64c300.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3711354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked NRG72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8417653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed FURIA Esports23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed FURIA Esports24c295.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked NRG77c295$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.853060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked FURIA Esports18c290.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3230835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0427…f204backed FURIA Esports9c288.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed FURIA Esports19c280$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2641835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed NRG77c272.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7319847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA Esports23c268.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6818457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed NRG77c267.7$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2228252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed NRG77c265.64$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.644165.9%27 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FURIA Esports26c247$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0555637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed FURIA Esports16c244.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9116144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA Esports23c228.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4627145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked FURIA Esports29c218$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.33839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ef1…8ca5backed FURIA Esports14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed NRG73c205$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed NRG66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6817654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b83…ef1dbacked FURIA Esports30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked FURIA Esports25c166.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3420051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports23c157.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7894361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed FURIA Esports22c153$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6620160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed FURIA Esports26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396930.4%21 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG66c141$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed1c…494dbacked FURIA Esports27c139.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked NRG72c132.68$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.158348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked NRG76c130.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked FURIA Esports23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed FURIA Esports25c126$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4257151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG67c125$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0870043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3adf…9c7bbacked NRG68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.651573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed FURIA Esports25c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed FURIA Esports27c105.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.628241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed FURIA Esports24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.