Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f481c96a3bf0d8292a2515e3dd0e709e5bdd240189b81fc98f8003480b4eb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Argentina, Egypt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,151,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,189,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,151,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Argentina | 40c | 1,839,449$738,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100,720.89 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Egypt | 37c | 1,242,904$458,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458,753.72 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Egypt | 14c | 1,000,000$140,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,999.99 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Argentina | 76c | 966,841$733,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,601.73 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Egypt | 25c | 792,644$196,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,461.48 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Egypt | 26c | 790,389$201,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,995.5 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Argentina | 60c | 549,809$329,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,139.39 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Egypt | 14c | 499,999$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,999.9 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c67fbacked Argentina | 53c | 461,708$244,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,980.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…90b2backed Argentina | 76c | 449,953$343,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,674.28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Egypt | 15c | 341,509$52,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,241.32 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Egypt | 2c | 324,899$6,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,377.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Egypt | 14c | 300,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,999.93 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Egypt | 30c | 290,151$87,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,045.18 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Egypt | 14c | 264,507$37,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,176.08 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Argentina | 41c | 254,879$105,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,376.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Egypt | 33c | 253,548$84,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,294.52 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Egypt | 32c | 239,610$77,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,289.37 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Argentina | 75c | 225,442$168,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,604.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Egypt | 26c | 220,395$56,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,504.83 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Argentina | 77c | 216,338$166,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,722.65 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Argentina | 57c | 208,115$118,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,407.63 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed Egypt | 15c | 200,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Egypt | 34c | 177,400$61,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,099.73 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Argentina | 43c | 172,669$75,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,574.65 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Egypt | 14c | 167,041$23,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,133.8 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Egypt | 33c | 147,031$48,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,019.58 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…ba32backed Argentina | 68c | 146,121$98,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,313.32 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Egypt | 14c | 126,026$17,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,643.65 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Egypt | 35c | 121,000$42,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,199.85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Egypt | 14c | 100,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Egypt | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…d2f3backed Egypt | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,999.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Egypt | 14c | 99,998$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Egypt | 14c | 98,052$13,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,696.79 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Egypt | 14c | 97,949$13,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,712.92 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Egypt | 25c | 93,902$23,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,832.94 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Argentina | 63c | 90,000$56,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,300 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Egypt | 54c | 89,066$48,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,306.92 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Egypt | 19c | 85,644$16,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,357.2 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Egypt | 39c | 71,715$27,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,948.49 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Egypt | 6c | 70,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Egypt | 14c | 70,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Egypt | 18c | 65,869$11,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800.93 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Argentina | 65c | 65,232$42,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,925.75 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Argentina | 75c | 64,520$48,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,448.88 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Egypt | 14c | 62,881$8,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,573.34 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Argentina | 32c | 59,830$19,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,424.4 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Egypt | 14c | 58,035$8,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,124.88 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Egypt | 11c | 56,000$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435.14 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Egypt | 13c | 55,470$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.82 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Argentina | 66c | 52,401$34,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,658.57 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe18…3be4backed Argentina | 55c | 51,774$28,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,322.26 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Egypt | 57c | 50,227$28,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,540.01 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Argentina | 80c | 50,000$39,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,009.59 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed Egypt | 15c | 50,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Argentina | 42c | 50,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,199.97 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Egypt | 14c | 48,759$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Egypt | 34c | 48,742$16,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,752.13 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed Egypt | 14c | 47,200$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…bd8bbacked Argentina | 64c | 47,184$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,183.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…5014backed Argentina | 29c | 45,963$13,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,449.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…d08bbacked Argentina | 34c | 44,000$15,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,869.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Egypt | 47c | 41,328$19,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,281.32 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Argentina | 58c | 40,515$23,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,886.37 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Argentina | 33c | 40,418$13,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,080.18 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Argentina | 51c | 38,592$19,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,021.11 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Egypt | 24c | 36,938$8,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,865.03 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Argentina | 52c | 34,272$17,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,531.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Egypt | 38c | 33,728$12,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,680 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed Egypt | 14c | 33,562$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.61 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Egypt | 14c | 32,500$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.96 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…baf1backed Argentina | 60c | 31,728$19,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,573.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked Argentina | 16c | 30,776$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,851.45 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…2068backed Argentina | 79c | 30,317$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Egypt | 14c | 30,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Argentina | 15c | 30,000$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,526.07 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Egypt | 14c | 30,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Egypt | 14c | 30,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.98 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Egypt | 16c | 29,176$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.03 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Argentina | 65c | 28,918$18,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,212.89 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Egypt | 29c | 28,732$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,350.27 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed Egypt | 13c | 28,648$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.29 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…8d6dbacked Argentina | 41c | 28,090$11,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,570.17 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Argentina | 49c | 27,547$13,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,912.34 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Egypt | 37c | 27,000$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Egypt | 14c | 26,849$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.16 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…0118backed Egypt | 14c | 26,453$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.41 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Egypt | 37c | 26,377$9,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,743.24 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Argentina | 17c | 25,882$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,482.35 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Argentina | 42c | 25,471$10,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,757.33 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Egypt | 58c | 24,995$14,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,458.21 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Argentina | 40c | 24,610$9,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,649.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…8450backed Egypt | 16c | 24,516$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.92 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…5547backed Egypt | 15c | 24,362$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Argentina | 78c | 24,222$18,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.21 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Argentina | 33c | 23,758$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,881.11 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Egypt | 23c | 23,000$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Argentina | 17c | 23,000$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,089.99 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Argentina | 57c | 22,906$13,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,819.44 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancethis page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.