TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c1,188$568 inWon+$619.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over35c705.36$250 inWon+$455.369428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over36c500$180 inWon+$3208453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under64c468.38$300 inLost-$299.7612056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under17c402$70 inLost-$69.6982537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under52c353.25$184 inLost-$183.6958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd423…99e9backed Over47c320$150 inWon+$169.65742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under60c314.49$187 inLost-$187.412,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under65c293.34$191 inLost-$190.811,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over35c285.71$100 inWon+$185.715350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.335650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under65c99.98$65 inLost-$64.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0287…38aabacked Over48c98.65$47 inWon+$51.33026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over21c98.64$21 inWon+$77.935127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under68c93.55$63 inLost-$63.322,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over33c75.33$25 inWon+$50.331,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under66c61.85$41 inLost-$40.8219251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…f422backed Over34c61.85$21 inWon+$40.825839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under67c47.75$32 inLost-$31.8141444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under65c18$12 inLost-$11.73,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.